AInvest Newsletter
Daily stocks & crypto headlines, free to your inbox
Investor interest in altcoin season has waned in recent weeks, marked by an 88% drop in searches for the phrase “alt season” on
Trends in August 2025. This decline coincides with a sharp drop in Ethereum's price, which fell from a 2025 yearly high of approximately $4,700 to as low as $4,100 in early August. , traditionally seen as a bellwether for altcoin activity, has struggled to maintain its upward momentum, casting uncertainty over the timing of the next altcoin rally. However, despite this setback, data suggests that the broader altcoin market is still in a transitional phase rather than a full retreat from altcoin season.Bitcoin dominance, a key metric for assessing market sentiment, has fallen to 58.66%, below the 60% threshold often associated with
season. This decline reflects capital rotation into altcoins, with Ethereum’s dominance at 13.47%, remaining above the 10% level that has historically signaled growing altcoin market share. The altcoin season index, as tracked by Blockchain Center, stands at 51, indicating that the market is still between Bitcoin and altcoin seasons. Officially, an altcoin season is defined when 75% of the top 50 coins by market cap outperform Bitcoin over a 90-day period. While this threshold has not yet been met, the index's current positioning suggests that conditions are favorable for an eventual shift toward altcoin outperformance.Further evidence of this transition is found in the Ethereum-to-Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio, which has shown early signs of a potential breakout. Market commentator Milk Road noted on X that the ETH/BTC pair is showing chart patterns similar to those observed in 2017 and 2021, when altcoins surged after Bitcoin's dominance weakened. Ethereum has been consolidating near a long-standing resistance level on its BTC chart, with a recent push suggesting that a breakout may be imminent. If this occurs, it could trigger a broader rotation into altcoins, particularly mid- and micro-cap assets that historically perform well during altcoin seasons.
Retail trader activity has also shown signs of cautious optimism. Google Trends data revealed a spike in searches for “altcoins” during the market dip in late August, signaling that retail investors are beginning to take notice of potential opportunities. Despite the pullback, the total altcoin market cap—excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum—remained above $1 trillion as of August 20, indicating that market participants are not entirely bearish. This resilience is further supported by micro-cap altcoins like API3 and WKC, which saw gains of over 50% in recent weeks, suggesting that risk appetite is returning to the sector.
Analysts from institutions such as Pantera and
have weighed in on the potential for an altcoin-led phase in the current bull cycle. According to Pantera, in previous cycles, altcoins accounted for more than 67% of total crypto market gains once Bitcoin’s momentum slowed. This historical precedent supports the view that the current dip is more of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal of the broader trend. If Ethereum continues to break through key resistance levels and Bitcoin dominance continues to wane, the stage could be set for a renewed altcoin rally.In summary, while the broader crypto market has experienced a recent correction, the underlying indicators suggest that altcoin season is not over. Ethereum’s resilience, Bitcoin’s declining dominance, and growing interest among retail and institutional investors all point toward the potential for a shift in market dynamics. As traders and investors watch for key price triggers—such as Ethereum breaching $5,000—the crypto market could be on the cusp of a period where altcoins regain their outperformance.
Source:
[1] Interest In Altcoin Season Crashes 88% In August As ... (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1062196-20250822)
[2] ETH Season Continues: Altcoins Down 51% vs ETH Since April; Watch ETH > $5K for Short Altseason Outperformance (https://blockchain.news/flashnews/eth-season-continues-altcoins-down-51-vs-eth-since-april)
[3] Crypto News: Broader Market Dip Doesn't Mean Altcoin ... (https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2025/08/20/crypto-news-broader-market-dip-doesnt-mean-altcoin-season-is-over-heres-why/)

Quickly understand the history and background of various well-known coins

Dec.02 2025

Dec.02 2025

Dec.02 2025

Dec.02 2025

Dec.02 2025
Daily stocks & crypto headlines, free to your inbox
Comments
No comments yet