Ethereum News Today: Ethereum's NUPL Signals Bottom Reached, Price Jumps 20%

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Friday, Jul 18, 2025 10:38 pm ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- On-chain analytics firm identifies Ethereum's NUPL metric hitting -0.2, signaling market capitulation and potential price bottom.

- NUPL measures net unrealized profit/loss by analyzing transaction history, showing 20% price surge as investor sentiment improves.

- Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin with $3,600 level reached, driven by record ETF inflows from major financial institutions.

- Network growth metrics and bullish momentum suggest continued strength, though extreme profit concentration could trigger corrections.

An on-chain analytics firm has identified a key metric that suggests Ethereum has reached its bottom, signaling an imminent rally. This metric, known as the "Net Unrealized Profit/Loss" (NUPL), measures the net amount of profit or loss that investors of the asset as a whole are holding. The NUPL works by analyzing the transaction history of each coin on the network to determine whether it was last moved at a price higher or lower than the current spot price. If the previous transfer value was higher, the token is considered to be in a state of net unrealized loss. Conversely, if the cost basis is below the latest price, the token is considered to be in profit.

The NUPL sums up the degree of profit or loss involved in both cases and calculates the difference between them. When the value of the indicator is positive, it means that investors as a whole are sitting in a state of net unrealized profit. Conversely, if the value is under zero, it implies the dominance of loss in the market. The NUPL observed a significant decline earlier in the year when the asset’s price plummeted, going down to around -0.2. This suggests that investors dipped into a net state of loss, which was notable enough for the sentiment to be flagged as “capitulation” under the analytics firm's methodology. Often, cryptocurrency markets move in the direction that the crowd least expects, so the presence of a high amount of loss can lead to a bottom. From the chart, this seems to be what occurred when the NUPL dropped into the capitulation zone.

With the price surge that has followed since this low, sentiment among Ethereum investors has naturally marked an improvement. The NUPL may be to keep an eye on, however, as once the balance shifts overwhelmingly towards profit, another shift in the market could become probable: this one to a downtrend. Ethereum has broken away from Bitcoin as its price has jumped by more than 20% over the past week, reaching the $3,600 level. The price of the coin seems to have been marching up recently, which is a clear indication of the growing confidence in Ethereum as a viable investment option.

This rally is not just a result of hype, but rather a reflection of the underlying strength of the Ethereum network. The firm's metric, which focuses on the growth of the network, suggests that Ethereum is in a strong position to continue its upward momentum. The firm's analysis is also supported by the fact that Ethereum has recently seen record inflows into its spot ETFs, driven largely by demand from major financial institutionsFISI--. This influx of capital is a clear indication of the growing confidence in Ethereum as a viable investment option. The firm's analysis is also supported by the fact that Ethereum has recently seen a surge in bullish momentum, with its price closing above the $3,000 mark. This bullish momentum is a clear indication of the growing confidence in Ethereum as a viable investment option.

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