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Ethereum futures trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) hit an unprecedented $118 billion in July 2025, marking a 82% increase from the previous month [1]. This milestone reflects a significant surge in demand for
derivatives, with open interest rising 75% to $5.21 billion, signaling growing institutional engagement in the market [2]. The record figures underline Ethereum’s increasing appeal as a regulated asset, drawing more institutional investors and signaling a shift toward a more mature and institutionalized trading environment [3].The surge in futures volume aligns with a broader bullish trend in Ethereum’s price, which reached nearly $5,000 in early August. The price appreciation has been supported by strong inflows into institutional Ethereum ETFs, with BlackRock’s ETHA ETF alone attracting $1.01 billion in a single day [4]. As a result, ETFs and strategic reserves now control approximately 8% of Ethereum’s circulating supply, up from 3% in April, indicating a structural shift toward institutional ownership and reduced volatility [1].
Technical indicators also support the ongoing bullish momentum. Ethereum is currently trading above key exponential moving averages, with both the RSI and MACD showing robust buying pressure. Analysts have noted that the combination of rising open interest and a strong trend setup suggests further upward movement in the near term [4]. A break above the $4,869 level is seen as a potential catalyst for additional institutional buying, while a drop below $4,386 could trigger a short-term pullback [2].
Some analysts project Ethereum reaching $6,000 by late 2025, driven by factors such as institutional adoption, Ethereum ETF inflows, and upcoming upgrades like Danksharding [2]. More ambitious forecasts suggest a $10,000 price target by 2026, though these remain speculative and are contingent on macroeconomic conditions and continued adoption.
While some short-term selling pressure has been observed, with large whale groups offloading ETH, these movements are largely interpreted as profit-taking by short-term traders rather than a shift in long-term sentiment. Long-term holders have shown little activity, suggesting continued confidence in Ethereum’s long-term value proposition [4].
The record-breaking volume on CME represents a turning point in Ethereum’s journey as a digital asset. It demonstrates not only the growing appetite for crypto derivatives but also the increasing legitimacy of Ethereum as a mainstream financial instrument. As the market continues to evolve, the coming weeks will be pivotal in determining whether Ethereum can sustain its upward momentum and potentially reach new highs.
Source:
[1] https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2025/08/13/ethereum-frenzy-and-record-volume-2-trillion-in-futures-traded/
[2] https://www.bitrue.com/blog/cme-ethereum-futures-hit-118b-record-july-2025
[3] https://www.cryptotimes.io/2025/08/12/cme-ethereum-futures-volume-hits-record-118-billion-in-july/
[4] https://www.ainvest.com/news/ethereum-news-today-ethereum-nears-5-000-etf-inflows-surpass-1-billion-24-hours-2508/
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