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Ethereum balances held on centralized exchanges have fallen to their lowest level since July 2016, with a 6.7% decline recorded in the third quarter of 2021, according to The DeFi Report. This drop in exchange-held supply signals a significant shift in investor behavior, with many opting for on-chain yield strategies, such as staking and decentralized finance (DeFi) participation, over traditional custodial solutions [1].
The reduction in exchange balances is being described as an “ETH supply shock” by Michael Nadeau, founder of The DeFi Report. This decline reflects a broader trend where institutional and individual investors are moving funds from centralized exchanges into more self-custodial or yield-generating environments. Nadeau explains that treasury-like entities are increasingly adopting on-chain strategies to optimize returns, contributing to the ongoing reduction in available ETH on exchanges [1].
This shift has important implications for liquidity and price dynamics in the
market. With less Ethereum available for immediate sale on exchanges, the overall sellable supply is constrained, which could lead to tighter liquidity conditions. Nadeau notes that this dynamic may result in a “reflexivity effect,” where increased market activity and rising demand coincide with upward price movements [1].Historically, similar patterns have been observed during periods of heightened DeFi activity. As on-chain utility rises, so too does the incentive for investors to move funds off exchanges. The current decline in CEX-held Ethereum aligns with this trend, indicating a growing preference for decentralized alternatives that offer both yield and control [1].
The broader movement of capital onto the blockchain also reflects a shift in institutional behavior, as more organizations are prioritizing on-chain solutions over traditional custodial models. This transition underscores the evolving nature of digital asset management and highlights the increasing maturity of the Ethereum ecosystem [1].
The DeFi Report’s analysis suggests that as more capital is locked into on-chain mechanisms, the relationship between Ethereum’s price and market fundamentals will become more pronounced. This could reinforce positive price trends, particularly in an environment where demand for Ethereum-based services and applications continues to grow [1].
Source: [1] Ethereum Exchange Balances Fall to July 2016 Levels (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/689ae8bff48bf1782063a01b/)

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