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Ethereum (ETH) remains entrenched near the $3,500 psychological level, consolidating within a $3,595–$3,758 range after a 13–14% weekly gain, as bulls attempt to establish a foundation for a potential breakout above $4,000 [1]. The price zone has transformed from a prior resistance into a critical support area following its role in Q1 and early Q2, with analysts emphasizing its significance as both a technical and psychological pivot point [1]. On-chain activity, including a 280% surge in volume over 12 days and $2.18 billion in U.S. spot ETF inflows, underscores robust demand despite recent short-term volatility [3].
Technical indicators suggest mixed signals. The MACD remains in positive territory, while the 20-day EMA aligns with the $3,500 level, creating a confluence of support [1]. A confirmed close above $3,500 would validate a three-year suppression pattern, with $4,105 identified as a primary target based on historical resistance levels [6]. However, the RSI at 84.38 signals overbought conditions, hinting at potential short-term consolidation before further gains [7]. Analysts caution that a breakdown below $3,500 could trigger a pullback toward $3,000, a level tied to the 50-day EMA and a potential bounce zone [1].
Market dynamics point to a broader bullish narrative. Whale activity has accelerated, with $1.7 billion in
accumulation by major wallets over recent weeks, suggesting long-term buy-side pressure [5]. DeFi total value locked (TVL) on Ethereum surpassed $80 billion, outpacing Solana’s $8 billion, while institutional inflows from ETFs have shifted capital from to Ethereum [3]. A CoinDCX analyst predicts an 8–10% rally to $4,000–$4,100 by late July if support holds, though traders must monitor overbought conditions and potential profit-taking [8].The $4,000 level remains a critical decision point. Lark Davis described it as the “BIG BOSS LEVEL,” noting that a daily close above this threshold would confirm bullish control and trigger FOMO-style buying [1]. Price action within the $3,000–$4,000 range has persisted since early July, with consolidation around $3,500 offering a platform for a new upward leg. However, failure to sustain momentum above $3,500 could result in a retest of $2,800–$2,950, where renewed buying interest might reinvigorate the trend [7].
Ethereum’s dominance in the crypto market has expanded as altcoins benefit from renewed risk appetite, though recent pullbacks in assets like
highlight sector volatility [9]. The cryptocurrency’s 7.20% rise over seven days contrasts with its 3.59% 24-hour decline, reflecting internal strength amid reversion [1]. With whale accumulation, ETF flows, and DeFi growth aligning, the market faces a pivotal juncture. A successful breakout would redefine Ethereum’s trajectory for the remainder of 2025, but regulatory developments or profit-taking could temper the upward bias [10].Source: [1] [Ethereum Eyes $4,500 Breakout as 13-14% Weekly Gain](https://www.ainvest.com/news/ethereum-news-today-ethereum-eyes-4-500-breakout-13-14-weekly-gain-2-6b-etf-inflows-fuel-optimism-2507/) [2] [Ethereum Surges 33% in Three Weeks, Eyes $4000 Mark](https://www.ainvest.com/news/ethereum-news-today-ethereum-surges-33-weeks-eyes-4-000-mark-2507/) [3] [Ethereum Price Prediction: Eyes on $4,000 – ETH’s 20% Weekly Gain Reshapes Market Outlook](https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/4faa0-ethereum-price-prediction-eyes-on-4000-eths-20-weekly-gain-reshapes-market-outlook) [4] [Ethereum Big-Money Flow Hits 3-Year High With $100B In](https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-978170-20250723) [5] [Ethereum (ETH) Whales Accumulate $1.7 Billion](https://blockchain.news/flashnews/ethereum-eth-whales-accumulate-1-7-billion-on-chain-data-reveals-massive-buys-by-7-fresh-wallets) [6] [Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Price in 2025,2026,2027](https://coindcx.com/blog/price-predictions/ethereum-price-weekly/) [7] [Ethereum Price Prediction: Eyes on $4,000 – ETH’s 20% Weekly Gain Reshapes Market Outlook](https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/4faa0-ethereum-price-prediction-eyes-on-4000-eths-20-weekly-gain-reshapes-market-outlook) [8] [Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Rally Cools, Can it Dodge a Major Correction?](https://cryptopotato.com/ethereum-price-analysis-eth-rally-cools-can-it-dodge-a-major-correction/) [9] [Ethereum and XRP lead $976 million liquidation wave as altcoin rally pulls back](https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/4faa0-ethereum-price-prediction-eyes-on-4000-eths-20-weekly-gain-reshapes-market-outlook) [10] [Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction for July 25](https://coinedition.com/ethereum-price-prediction-july-25)
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