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Ethereum (ETH) faces a critical price test near $4,000 after the cryptocurrency market endured its
, with over $19.35 billion in leveraged positions wiped out in 24 hours. The crash, driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and excessive leverage, saw plummet from above $4,800 to as low as $3,373, triggering widespread panic selling and forced liquidations. The sell-off disproportionately impacted altcoins, with Ethereum's drop of nearly 12% dwarfing Bitcoin's 6.5% weekly loss.The collapse was catalyzed by U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese tech exports and tighter software export controls. These measures sparked fears of global supply chain disruptions, accelerating a flight to safety in traditional assets and triggering a domino effect in crypto markets. Leverage-heavy positions in
and altcoins bore the brunt of the liquidations, with (SOL) and (ADA) losing up to 30% of their value. An altcoin index briefly fell 40% within minutes, while Ethereum's price stabilization above $4,100 marked a partial rebound.
Market makers and institutional players played a pivotal role in post-crash dynamics. The initial "bleeding phase" saw liquidity providers step back to arbitrage price discrepancies between spot and futures markets, delaying a rebound. However, renewed institutional demand via Ethereum ETFs has injected $674 million in inflows over two days, signaling cautious optimism. Strategic Ether reserves and ETF holdings have surged 250% since April 1, now accounting for 4% of total ETH supply.
Technical analysis highlights Ethereum's potential for a bullish resurgence. A "bull flag" pattern on the weekly chart suggests a target of $10,500, with the RSI crossing above the midline at 61. On-chain metrics, including a 9.4% rise in active addresses and a 139% jump in weekly network fees, further support long-term confidence. However, volatility remains a concern: Ethereum's open interest surged 8.2% in 24 hours as traders re-entered leveraged positions, raising risks of another liquidation cascade if momentum falters.
Analysts caution that while ETF inflows and institutional adoption bolster Ethereum's fundamentals, the market remains fragile. The recent rebound has been driven largely by derivatives trading rather than sustained spot demand, with 75% of historical leverage-driven recoveries reverting to prior levels. Key resistance lies between $4,250–$4,300; a sustained break above this range could confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a drop below $3,900 may trigger a retest of $3,600.
The October 2025 crash underscores the crypto market's susceptibility to geopolitical and macroeconomic shifts. While institutional integration and regulatory clarity could foster long-term stability, short-term risks persist. Investors are urged to prioritize risk management, avoid overleveraging, and monitor developments in U.S.-China relations and Federal Reserve policy.
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