Ethereum News Today: Ethereum's $4,270 Test: Bullish Momentum vs. Overbought Correction?

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Thursday, Oct 30, 2025 10:26 am ET2min read
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- Ethereum approaches $4,270 resistance amid $522M global crypto liquidations, led by $124.6M ETH losses as "Machi Big Brother" whale unwinds positions.

- MegaETH's oversubscribed $360M layer-2 ICO claims 100,000+ TPS, attracting 100,000+ participants with $7.2B hypothetical valuation.

- Regulatory scrutiny intensifies with MEV bot fraud trial and ConsenSys IPO plans, while Fed rate uncertainty triggers $550M crypto ETF outflows.

- Derivatives activity hits $560B volume on Binance, but 70.63% long positions face 4.28% open interest dip amid overbought technical indicators.

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH approaches $4,270 hurdle as BitMine expands treasury to 3.31 million ETH.>

The partial liquidation of the influential

(ETH) whale known as "Machi Big Brother" has drawn attention amid heightened volatility in the crypto markets. Over the past 24 hours, global crypto liquidations reached $522 million, with Ethereum leading the charge at $124.6 million in losses, according to . The whale, which had accumulated significant long positions, saw a portion of its holdings unwound as oscillated near critical resistance levels. The single largest Ethereum liquidation on Hyperliquid totaled $6.09 million, underscoring the fragility of leveraged positions during sharp price swings, as Coinotag noted.

MegaETH Layer-2 ICO Oversubscribed Within Minutes, Attracts $360M in Commitments.>

Ethereum's price action has been a focal point for traders and analysts. The asset recently tested the $4,270 resistance level, a threshold it previously failed to breach in October 2024 before retreating below $3,700, as FXStreet reported. Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator, suggest bullish momentum but also signal overbought conditions that could trigger a short-term correction. Meanwhile, Ethereum's derivatives markets have seen explosive activity, with Binance reporting $560 billion in October trading volume — the highest in ETH's history, according to a

. Long positions dominate at 70.63%, reflecting widespread optimism despite a 4.28% dip in open interest, which traders interpret as cautious profit-taking.

The volatility coincides with a landmark event in the Ethereum ecosystem: the oversubscribed initial coin offering (ICO) of MegaETH, a layer-2 scaling solution. The project raised $360.8 million in commitments within minutes, achieving a hypothetical fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $7.2 billion, according to the Yahoo coverage. MegaETH's MEGA token

, which concluded on October 30, allocated tokens based on community engagement metrics and lockup periods, attracting 100,000+ participants and 819 addresses committing the maximum $186,282 in USDT, per the same Yahoo report. The project's claims of 100,000+ transactions per second (TPS) and millisecond block times have generated buzz, particularly as Ethereum's layer-2 landscape faces scrutiny over security and scalability, as noted in a .

Regulatory and legal dynamics further complicate the market. The Ethereum MEV bot trial, involving brothers accused of exploiting maximal extractable value (MEV) to siphon $25 million, has sparked debate over the boundaries of blockchain innovation and criminal liability, according to a

. Prosecutors have barred arguments about broader crypto policy, focusing instead on fraud charges tied to transaction reordering. Separately, Consensys — the developer of MetaMask and Infura — is advancing toward an IPO, with JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs reportedly advising on the offering, as reported in an . The firm's infrastructure-centric model, which processes billions of daily requests, positions it to capitalize on Ethereum's growing adoption independent of price volatility.

Market sentiment also faces headwinds from Federal Reserve uncertainty. ETF outflows for

and Ethereum totaled $550 million in a single session as Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at no further 2025 rate cuts, according to a . Bitcoin ETFs alone lost $470.71 million, with Fidelity's FBTC leading withdrawals. Ethereum ETFs, while smaller in scale, saw $81.44 million in outflows, reflecting risk-off behavior ahead of potential macroeconomic shifts.

As the crypto market navigates these crosscurrents, the partial liquidation of Machi Big Brother serves as a cautionary tale about leverage in volatile conditions. While Ethereum's fundamentals — bolstered by layer-2 innovation and derivatives activity — remain robust, the interplay of regulatory, technical, and macroeconomic factors will likely dictate near-term trajectories.