Ethereum News Today: Ethereum’s 365-day ROI Surpasses 1.0 for First Time in Months, Boosting Investor Confidence as Price Climbs Above $3,500

Ethereum’s 365-day return on investment (ROI) has crossed the 1.0 threshold for the first time in months, reaching 1.074 as of July 22, 2025. This marks a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency, indicating that investors who purchased ETH exactly one year ago are now in profit. The metric, which had languished below breakeven levels for much of 2022 and 2023, has now re-entered a positive trajectory, signaling renewed investor confidence. Concurrently, Ethereum’s price has climbed above $3,500, aligning with the upward trend in its ROI. The convergence of these indicators suggests a potential early phase in a new market cycle, mirroring historical patterns observed during prior bull runs.

Historical data reveals a cyclical relationship between Ethereum’s ROI and price performance. Over the past decade, the 365-day ROI has surged during bull markets, peaking above 100 in 2018 and 2021 before collapsing below 1 during bearish periods. The current recovery above the 1.0 level aligns with prior inflection points—such as late 2019 and 2020—where Ethereum initiated sustained upward trends following extended consolidation phases. Analysts note that the recent ROI crossing coincides with Ethereum’s gradual price ascent, reinforcing the correlation between on-chain metrics and market sentiment. This pattern underscores the potential for a multi-year growth cycle, provided the trend continues.

The market’s response to the ROI milestone has been cautiously optimistic. A widely shared chart analyzing the ROI-Price dynamic attracted significant engagement, with users debating future price projections. One estimate suggested Ethereum could reach $8,333 in a $5 trillion cryptocurrency market, assuming a 7-20% market share. While such forecasts remain speculative, the ROI’s return to breakeven levels has already spurred renewed interest among retail and institutional investors. The price’s steady rise to $3,500, characterized by low volatility, further supports a more stable market structure compared to sharp corrections in 2018 and 2022.

Technically, Ethereum’s ROI trajectory above 1.0 indicates a shift in macroeconomic sentiment. Historically, this threshold has preceded prolonged bull markets, as seen in 2017 and 2020. While the metric is inherently backward-looking, its consistent upward movement over recent months adds weight to its predictive value. The logarithmic price chart shows Ethereum’s gradual recovery over the past two years, contrasting with the rapid declines during prior downturns. This stability has encouraged traders to reassess accumulation phases, with the horizontal green line (representing y=1) serving as a critical reference point for sustained growth. Should the ROI remain above 1.0, Ethereum could enter a long-term upward channel driven by on-chain data and broader market optimism.

As the cryptocurrency continues its recovery, investors remain focused on whether the current trend will replicate past cycles of extended growth. The alignment of ROI and price action offers a compelling case for Ethereum’s renewed strength, though risks persist in a highly volatile sector. The market’s ability to maintain this momentum will likely determine the next phase of Ethereum’s journey, with the 1.074 ROI serving as a key benchmark for future developments.