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Ethereum (ETH) is exhibiting strong accumulation signals near the $3,780 level, with on-chain data suggesting a potential short-term dip to clear leveraged positions before a possible breakout. The cryptocurrency has shown tightening supply conditions, marked by over $2 billion in
minting and the withdrawal of 244,000 ETH (worth nearly $900 million) from in early July. These movements indicate large-scale positioning by institutional and long-term investors, as liquidity inflows and reduced exchange balances signal a shift toward holding strategies [1].The divergence between Ethereum’s spot price and declining Open Interest (OI) on Binance highlights evolving market dynamics. While the price remains near $3,780, OI has fallen, suggesting traders are reducing leveraged exposure. Funding rates have also stabilized near neutral levels, signaling waning speculative fervor. This disconnection between OI and price often precedes periods of consolidation or volatility, with analysts noting that such behavior could set the stage for a more sustainable upward move if key support levels hold [2].
Large on-chain movements further reinforce the narrative of strategic accumulation. The withdrawal of 244,000 ETH from Coinbase—a volume representing significant capital—reflects a trend of investors transferring assets to long-term wallets. This outflow reduces circulating supply and may contribute to upward price pressure as exchange-held ETH becomes less liquid [3]. Meanwhile, the minting of $2 billion in USDT points to increased liquidity in the market, often used to facilitate asset purchases or market-making activities.
A critical factor to monitor is the concentration of leveraged long positions near $3,780. According to Alphractal’s Liquidation Heatmap, this resistance zone is heavily populated by longs, increasing the likelihood of a short-term correction to flush out leveraged traders. Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, noted the imbalance favors downside liquidation, which could act as a “reset” for the market before a potential breakout [4]. Such a dip, while painful for leveraged positions, might clear technical resistance and create a healthier foundation for a sustained rally.
The interplay between on-chain metrics and market sentiment underscores Ethereum’s strategic positioning. Tightening supply conditions, coupled with reduced leverage and fresh liquidity, suggest a maturing market phase. However, the risk of a leveraged-driven pullback remains elevated, particularly as traders near critical price levels. Investors are advised to closely monitor Open Interest trends, withdrawal volumes, and liquidation heatmaps to gauge the timing of potential moves [5].
Sources:
[1] [Ethereum Shows Signs of Accumulation Amid Potential Leveraged Dip Before Possible Breakout] (https://en.coinotag.com/ethereum-shows-signs-of-accumulation-amid-potential-leveraged-dip-before-possible-breakout/)
[2] [Ethereum Shows Signs of Accumulation Amid Potential Leveraged Dip Before Possible Breakout] (https://en.coinotag.com/ethereum-shows-signs-of-accumulation-amid-potential-leveraged-dip-before-possible-breakout/)
[3] [Ethereum Shows Signs of Accumulation Amid Potential Leveraged Dip Before Possible Breakout] (https://en.coinotag.com/ethereum-shows-signs-of-accumulation-amid-potential-leveraged-dip-before-possible-breakout/)
[4] [Ethereum Shows Signs of Accumulation Amid Potential Leveraged Dip Before Possible Breakout] (https://en.coinotag.com/ethereum-shows-signs-of-accumulation-amid-potential-leveraged-dip-before-possible-breakout/)
[5] [Ethereum Shows Signs of Accumulation Amid Potential Leveraged Dip Before Possible Breakout] (https://en.coinotag.com/ethereum-shows-signs-of-accumulation-amid-potential-leveraged-dip-before-possible-breakout/)
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