Ethereum News Today: BlackRock Hedera ETF Speculation Sparks 8x HBAR Price Projections

Hedera’s HBAR currently trades at approximately $0.24, a modest figure in the broader cryptocurrency market. However, speculation has emerged about what might happen if BlackRock — one of the largest asset management firms globally — were to file for a Hedera exchange-traded fund (ETF). While there is no concrete indication that this will occur, the mere possibility has ignited discussions within the Hedera community about the potential price implications.

A BlackRock ETF filing could significantly influence traditional finance’s perception of HBAR. In 2024, ETF filings for Bitcoin and Ethereum triggered substantial inflows and attracted new investors who had previously avoided the crypto market. A similar effect could occur for Hedera if such a product were to be launched, potentially opening the asset to pension funds, wealth managers, and retail investors who prefer regulated investment vehicles [1].

Notably, Hedera has already gained traction among institutional players. Earlier this year, the network facilitated the tokenization of a BlackRock money market fund via Archax. Although this was not an ETF, it demonstrated the network’s capability to support serious financial infrastructure and showed that major institutions are comfortable engaging with Hedera’s ecosystem [1].

If an ETF were to materialize, the price impact could follow patterns seen with Bitcoin and Ethereum. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF filing led to roughly a 70% price increase in the months following the announcement, while Ethereum saw a surge of over 50% after its ETF approval. Given Hedera’s smaller market capitalization, a surge in demand could lead to even more pronounced percentage gains.

Analysts have provided a speculative price projection based on this scenario. In the short term — during the pre-approval hype — HBAR could climb to between $0.40 and $0.50. If the ETF is approved and begins to attract inflows, the price could push into the $0.80–$1.00 range. In the long term, if institutions begin to adopt the asset and the ETF becomes a core product, analysts suggest that HBAR could trade above $2 within the current bull cycle [1].

Such a move would represent an over 8x increase from the current price, elevating Hedera’s market cap to approximately $70 billion. While still far from Ethereum’s valuation, it would place the asset in a stronger competitive position.

Despite these projections, it is important to emphasize that this remains a speculative scenario. BlackRock has not filed for a Hedera ETF. The closest connection is its tokenization of a money market fund on the Hedera network through Archax, which is not equivalent to an ETF application. As of now, the idea remains theoretical [1].

Still, the market reaction could be significant if such an event ever materializes. Hedera’s infrastructure is already positioned to support tokenization, payments, and compliance-driven applications — characteristics that align with traditional finance’s priorities. Whether or not a BlackRock ETF becomes a reality, the potential for explosive growth remains a topic of intrigue and speculation.

Source: [1] Here’s the HBAR Price if BlackRock Files for a Hedera ETF (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/689b5cc0b50d914bd96d212e/)