Ethereum News Today: Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin $250K 111% Gain Ethereum $10K 179% Surge by 2025 on U.S. Policy Shifts

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Thursday, Jul 24, 2025 7:55 am ET1min read
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Aime RobotAime Summary

- Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, predicts Bitcoin at $250,000 and Ethereum at $10,000 by 2025, citing U.S. policy shifts under potential Trump administration.

- He argues a "wartime economy" strategy—driven by deficit spending and rare earths—could boost crypto demand, while stablecoin investments in Treasuries may fuel credit expansion.

- Regulatory changes (e.g., 401(k) crypto access) and institutional Ethereum interest, highlighted by SharpLink's ETH purchase, signal growing adoption despite short-term technical resistance.

- Analysts question Hayes' targets due to Bitcoin's weak volume and Ethereum's near-term hurdles, though long-term on-chain metrics suggest bullish potential.

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has reiterated a bullish outlook for BitcoinBTC-- and EthereumETH--, forecasting prices of $250,000 and $10,000 respectively by the end of 2025. These predictions, representing gains of over 111% and 179% from current levels, are based on his analysis of U.S. economic policy shifts, particularly under a potential second Trump administration. Hayes posits that a “wartime economy” strategy—characterized by heavy borrowing, defense manufacturing, and rare earths production—could stimulate demand for risk assets like cryptocurrencies [1]. He emphasizes a self-reinforcing cycle where stablecoin issuers invest user funds into U.S. Treasury bills, supporting government deficits and enabling further credit expansion [2].

Hayes also highlights regulatory changes as potential catalysts, such as allowing 401(k) retirement funds to include crypto or eliminating capital gains taxes on digital assets. These shifts, he argues, would deepen institutional participation in the sector. While Bitcoin remains his primary focus, he notes growing institutional interest in Ethereum, particularly as attention shifts back to established chains like Ethereum from alternatives like SolanaSOL-- [3]. Recent developments, including SharpLink Gaming’s acquisition of 360,807 ETH, further underscore renewed institutional appetite for Ethereum [4].

Technical analysis, however, presents short-term challenges. Bitcoin, trading near $118,200, faces declining trading volume ($49.2 billion) and key resistance levels at $130,000 and above. Analysts like Glassnode’s James Check caution that waning momentum raises questions about Hayes’ $250,000 target this year, emphasizing the need for sustained volume to validate a breakout [5]. Ethereum, at $3,688, shows stronger on-chain metrics, including a 475% surge in network fees and rising active address counts. Its RSI “buy” signal and bullish Cup & Handle pattern suggest long-term potential, though near-term resistance around $4,100 remains a concern [6].

Hayes’ narrative reflects broader optimism in the crypto industry about a credit-driven economy, contrasting with traditional market caution. While his 2025 targets are speculative, they underscore a growing belief that digital assets could thrive in an environment of expansive fiscal policy and regulatory experimentation. The interplay between macroeconomic trends and crypto’s evolving role in capital markets will likely define the sector’s trajectory in the coming months [7].

Source:

[1] [Crypto Billionaire Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Will Hit $250,000 and Ethereum to $10,000 by 2025](https://cryptonews.com/news/crypto-billionaire-arthur-hayes-predicts-bitcoin-to-hit-250000-eth-to-10k-by-end-of-2025-bull-market-starting/)

[2] [Arthur Hayes Sees Ethereum Leading Next Crypto Supercycle](https://coindoo.com/arthur-hayes-sees-ethereum-leading-next-crypto-supercycle/)

[3] [Arthur Hayes Bitcoin Prediction: BTC to $250K, ETH to $10K](https://coinfomania.com/arthur-hayes-bitcoin-prediction/)

[4] [XT Community News](https://www.xt.com/en/blog/community-news/2025-07-23T11:07:42.000Z)

[5] [Bitcoin and Ethereum Eye Long-Term Highs, But Short-Term Resistance Looms](https://cryptonews.com/news/crypto-billionaire-arthur-hayes-predicts-bitcoin-to-hit-250000-eth-to-10k-by-end-of-2025-bull-market-starting/)

[6] [Ethereum Price Prediction: Will ETH Rise Again This Year?](https://www.newsbreak.com/tradingkey-331884976/4127360556199-ethereum-price-prediction-will-eth-rise-again-this-year-future-trends)

[7] [Arthur Hayes Sets Bitcoin Price Target at $250K & Ethereum to $10K](https://www.cryptotimes.io/2025/07/23/arthur-hayes-sets-bitcoin-price-target-to-250000-ethereum-to-10000/)

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