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AguilaTrades, a well-known figure in the crypto derivatives market, is currently facing substantial liquidation risks as it engages in aggressive shorting of
(ETH) with 15x leverage. The trader holds a position of 30,001 ETH, valued at approximately $128.45 million, with a liquidation price of $4,383.66. This position is a continuation of a volatile trading history, including a prior short that was closed in under 10 minutes and resulted in a $1.86 million loss [2].The current shorting strategy involves a limit order to sell 29,000 ETH between $4,200 and $4,240. This move coincides with key liquidation points around $4,258 on Binance, where a sharp drop in short leverage and rising long leverage signal potential for amplified market volatility and cascading liquidations [1]. As ETH's price approaches $4,263, the likelihood of liquidation increases, particularly for leveraged traders. High concentrations of short leverage in this price range could trigger a chain reaction, increasing market pressure and causing more pronounced price swings.
The broader market dynamics suggest a shift in sentiment, with funding rates across major exchanges like Binance and Bybit showing a steady increase in long positions. This trend indicates growing optimism among traders despite the looming risks from short-heavy positions. However, the volatility seen on exchanges such as Gate and CoinEx contrasts with the more stable conditions on others, emphasizing the need for traders to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions [1].
AguilaTrades is not new to such high-risk strategies. Earlier in August, the trader executed a short position of 26,187 ETH in just 10 minutes, valued at around $112.35 million, but incurred a $1.86 million loss in the process [2]. These actions highlight the speed and scale at which large whale positions can be adjusted in response to market conditions, as well as the inherent risks of leveraged trading in a volatile market.
The potential impact of AguilaTrades’ current position is significant. If the price of ETH moves against the short, the trader could face a large-scale liquidation event. Moreover, the high leverage involved increases the potential for broader market effects, including downward price pressure and increased trading volume. Traders are advised to monitor key support levels and watch for signs of a larger sell-off, as well as to track perpetual funding rates, spot-derivatives basis, and liquidation clusters for insights into market flows.
Given the scale and leverage of the position, the market may also experience ripple effects if institutional or algorithm-driven strategies react to the increased on-chain activity. These trades exemplify the interconnectedness of large whale actions and overall market dynamics in the crypto space.
AguilaTrades’ recent strategy illustrates the high-stakes nature of leveraged trading in a fast-moving market. While the trader’s actions may reflect a bearish outlook, the potential for rapid and large-scale losses remains a key concern. As the price of ETH continues to fluctuate, the outcomes of these trades could have a meaningful impact on broader liquidity conditions and price trends in the near term.
Source:
[1] Ethereum News Today: Hyperliquid Whale Shifts to 15x ... (https://www.ainvest.com/news/ethereum-news-today-hyperliquid-whale-shifts-15x-eth-long-3-7m-shorts-2508/)
[2] Ethereum (ETH) Whale Closes 26187 ETH Short in 10 ... (https://blockchain.news/flashnews/ethereum-eth-whale-closes-26-187-eth-short-in-10-minutes-books-1-86m-loss-lookonchain-data)
[3] ETH Short Alert: AguilaTrades Starts 25x TWAP Sell of ... (https://blockchain.news/flashnews/eth-short-alert-aguilatrades-starts-25x-twap-sell-of-10-000-eth-42m-after-11-3m-profit-what-traders-should-monitor)
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