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Ethereum’s supply dynamics have shown signs of tightening as large-scale withdrawals from major exchanges and increased demand through U.S. spot ETFs have reshaped the market landscape. Over the past week,
, the world’s largest exchange by trading volume, witnessed a significant outflow of 630,000 ETH, valued at approximately $2.7 billion, signaling a shift in investor sentiment. This movement coincides with a broader trend of institutional accumulation, as U.S. spot ETFs have added 286,000 ETH in a single week, reflecting sustained institutional interest in the asset. Such developments have sparked bullish speculation, with some analysts suggesting that long-term holders are preparing for a potential price breakout [1].On-chain data from Ultrasound.Money reveals that over 35.7 million ETH—worth approximately $162 billion—have been staked on the
network, accounting for 31% of the total supply. This figure represents a significant portion of the circulating supply being locked up, potentially limiting short-term liquidity and increasing the incentive structure for stakers. Meanwhile, the Ethereum staking entry queue reached its highest level since September 2023, with 860,369 ETH waiting to be staked, indicating strong participation from institutional traders and crypto savings platforms. This trend suggests that Ethereum’s post-merge ecosystem is continuing to attract capital, particularly from entities seeking yield [1].However, recent price movements have been mixed. Ethereum’s price briefly fell below $4,300 earlier in the week, driven by bearish technical indicators and a failed attempt to break above $4,900. This price action has led some analysts to forecast further declines, with ETH potentially facing a 10% correction toward $4,081. The price has also faced resistance around $4,500, a level that has historically repelled upward momentum. A sustained break below this level could trigger additional sell-offs, with $4,215 and $4,081 identified as key support levels to watch [2].
Despite the bearish price action, whale activity and institutional inflows suggest that Ethereum’s fundamentals remain robust. Data from CryptoQuant shows that Binance’s Ethereum reserves have declined sharply, a sign that large holders are moving assets to cold storage, often a precursor to long-term price appreciation. Additionally, funding rates for Ethereum futures have turned negative, indicating a shift in speculative positioning. Open interest has also decreased to around $9 billion, a sign of reduced leverage and speculative pressure. These factors, combined with whale accumulation during pullbacks, suggest that the market is being driven more by long-term positioning than short-term speculation [1].
Looking ahead, Ethereum faces a critical juncture. If the price can reclaim $4,650, it could reestablish a path toward $5,000 and beyond, reigniting broader crypto market sentiment. Conversely, a sustained breakdown below $4,200 could expose the asset to deeper corrections, potentially testing levels as low as $3,700. Market observers are also watching for signs of a seasonal bearish pattern that historically emerges in September, a period in which Ethereum has typically underperformed. Analysts note that Ethereum’s volatility relative to
has increased, with ETH now showing a higher beta, meaning its price swings are more pronounced in response to broader market movements [3].Source:
[1] Ethereum Supply Tightens With Major Exchange Outflows, ... (https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2025/09/03/ethereum-supply-tightens-with-major-exchange-outflows-etf-demand-rising/)
[2] Ethereum price Crash To $4081: Why The Bears Are In ... (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1091898-20250903)
[3] Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH-USD Holds ... - Trading News (https://www.tradingnews.com/news/ethereum-price-forecast-eth-usd-price-battles-4465-usd)
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