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Faces Critical $4,640 Resistance as $806 Million Options Expire Today (https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2025/09/19/ethereum-faces-critical-4640-resistance-as-806-million-options-expire-today/)[2] $4.3 Billion
& Ethereum Options Expire Today - BeInCrypto (https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-ethereum-options-expire-today-volatility/)[3] $4.3 Billion BTC,
Options Expiry Triggers Potential Volatility for ... (https://coincentral.com/4-3-billion-crypto-options-expiry-triggers-potential-volatility-for-bitcoin-and-ethereum/)[4] Ethereum Under SEC Scrutiny for Over a Year, … (https://www.coinscan.com/blog/ethereum-under-sec-scrutiny-for-over-a-year-regulations-and-eths)
[5] Ethereum Regulatory Status: SEC Concludes Investigation, … (https://www.openmarketcap.com/ethereum-regulatory-status/)
Ethereum (ETH) faced heightened volatility on September 19, 2025, as $806.75 million in ETH options approached their $4,500 "max pain" strike price on Deribit. With the cryptocurrency trading at $4,590, the price hovered near critical technical levels, including immediate resistance at $4,640 and support at $4,535. The Put-to-Call Ratio (PCR) of 0.99 indicated a cautiously bullish sentiment among derivatives traders, contrasting with Bitcoin’s bearish options positioning [1].
The options expiry, part of a broader $4.3 billion BTC and ETH expiry event, underscored short-term market uncertainty. Deribit data showed Ethereum’s price could consolidate near $4,500 as contracts expired at 8:00 UTC. However, analysts noted that Ethereum’s accumulation by large holders—approximately 820,000 ETH ($3.8 billion) purchased in three days—suggested institutional confidence. Whale activity since mid-June aligned with Ethereum’s rebound from $3,000 lows, signaling long-term bullish intent [2].
Technical indicators pointed to a potential breakout if Ethereum cleared $4,765, the upper boundary of an ascending triangle pattern formed since July. A successful break could target $5,800, while a drop below $4,535 risked invalidating the bullish case and triggering a decline toward $4,350. The Federal Reserve’s 25-basis-point rate cut earlier in the week provided additional tailwinds for risk assets, though markets initially dipped on expectations of a slower rate reduction cycle [3].
Regulatory scrutiny intensified amid the volatility. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) concluded its over-year-long investigation into Ethereum’s classification, avoiding charges but leaving the cryptocurrency in regulatory limbo. The agency’s focus on Ethereum’s proof-of-stake transition and potential securities law violations raised concerns about future compliance burdens. ConsenSys, a key Ethereum ecosystem player, sued the SEC in April 2024 to challenge the investigation, arguing Ethereum’s commodity status under the CFTC [4].
Market participants also watched institutional Ethereum ETF inflows, which totaled $7.09 billion as of July 2025, despite outflows from Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust. While SEC filings revealed varying levels of institutional adoption, the regulatory uncertainty limited broader ETF growth. The interplay of options expiry, technical levels, and regulatory developments highlighted Ethereum’s precarious balance between institutional adoption and market instability [5].
The week’s expiry event occurred against a backdrop of record $18 billion in Bitcoin options set to expire on September 26. Analysts warned that Ethereum’s price action in the near term would hinge on its ability to hold above $4,500 and capitalize on bullish whale accumulation. Meanwhile, the SEC’s ongoing regulatory overreach and the broader crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts underscored the sector’s volatility as it navigated a rapidly evolving landscape.
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