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On-chain data analyst Murphy recently posted an analysis of ETH's cost basis distribution over the past six months, revealing the presence of a multi-million ETH accumulation zone. For ETH to continue its uptrend, it needs to overcome three key levels. The first level of support is around $1,500 to $1,600, where whales accumulated positions two years ago. Despite some selling over time, there are still nearly 1.2 million ETH held strong at this level. If this support fails and ETH drops to $1,200, these 1.2 million ETH would turn into a significant amount of underwater positions, but currently, it seems this level has been safely cleared.
After bouncing from $1,500, the first major resistance for ETH is seen between $1,800 and $1,900, a level where a whale accumulated in June 2023 and still holds around 2 million ETH. ETH has already broken through this level. So far, there are no signs of significant selling from the holders in these two cost ranges, indicating that whales are not satisfied with the current price. Between $2,700 and $2,800, ETH has accumulated nearly 4.7 million ETH in a huge volume zone, currently at unrealized losses. However, these holders are clearly believers in ETH, as they started accumulating around $3,500 back in January 2025, kept buying the dip, and managed to lower their average cost to $2,700 to $2,800. If ETH can smoothly surpass this level, there won't be a significant cluster of underwater positions above.
The largest sell pressure currently comes from around 2.27 million ETH accumulated near $1,800, gradually sold off during the price rise to $2,600, with 1.01 million ETH still held as of May 16th. This analysis is for
purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The presence of these accumulation zones and the behavior of whales indicate that ETH's price movements are closely watched by large holders, who are likely to influence the market with their selling or holding strategies. The current price levels and the distribution of ETH holdings suggest that there is significant support and resistance at various price points, which could impact ETH's future price movements.
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