Estimating MSC Industrial Direct's Intrinsic Value with Discounted Cash Flow Model

Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 8:46 am ET1min read

MSC Industrial Direct Co.'s estimated intrinsic value is $111 based on a 2-stage free cash flow to equity model, suggesting the stock is potentially trading close to its fair value. The current share price of $91.71 and analyst price target of $90.29 are less than the estimated fair value.

MSC Industrial Direct Co. (MSM) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) by Zacks Investment Research, indicating a positive outlook on the company's earnings potential [1]. This upgrade is a reflection of upward trends in earnings estimates, a key factor influencing stock prices. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MSC Industrial has increased by 3% over the past three months, with analysts expecting the company to earn $3.66 per share for the fiscal year ending August 2025 [1].

The Zacks Rank stock-rating system, which classifies stocks based on earnings estimates, has an impressive track record. Since 1988, Zacks Rank #1 stocks have generated an average annual return of +25% [1]. The upgrade positions MSC Industrial in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting that the stock might move higher in the near term.

MSC Industrial's estimated intrinsic value is $111 based on a 2-stage free cash flow to equity model, indicating that the stock is potentially trading close to its fair value. The current share price of $91.71 and analyst price target of $90.29 are less than the estimated fair value, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors [2].

References:
[1] https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/msc-industrial-msm-upgraded-strong-buy-heres-what-you-should-know
[2] https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/msm

Estimating MSC Industrial Direct's Intrinsic Value with Discounted Cash Flow Model

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