Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of adesso SE (ETR:ADN1)
AInvestFriday, Jan 10, 2025 4:42 am ET
3min read
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adesso SE (ETR:ADN1), a leading IT services and consulting company, has been making waves in the industry with its impressive revenue growth and expanding service offerings. As an investor, you might be wondering: what is the intrinsic value of adesso SE, and is it a good investment opportunity? In this article, we will delve into the key financial metrics, growth prospects, and profitability of adesso SE to help you make an informed decision.

Key Financial Metrics
To estimate the intrinsic value of adesso SE, we must first understand its key financial metrics. Here are some crucial ones to consider:

1. Revenue Growth: Adesso SE has shown remarkable revenue growth over the past few years. In 2023, its revenue increased by 26.49% compared to the previous year, reaching 1.14 billion. This growth indicates the company's ability to expand its business and generate more revenue.
2. Earnings Growth: Although adeso SE's earnings decreased in 2023, it has shown strong earnings growth in previous years. For example, in 2022, its earnings grew by 126.69% compared to the previous year. This metric is crucial for understanding the company's profitability and potential for future growth.
3. Operating Margin: Adesso SE's operating margin has been relatively stable, hovering around 2% in recent years. This metric indicates the company's ability to generate profits from its core operations.
4. Profit Margin: Adesso SE's profit margin has also been stable, around 0.36% in recent years. This metric shows the company's ability to convert revenue into profits.
5. Free Cash Flow Margin: Adesso SE's free cash flow margin has been around 8.85% in recent years. This metric indicates the company's ability to generate cash from its operations.
6. Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Adesso SE's debt-to-equity ratio is 69.2%, which is relatively high. This metric shows the company's reliance on debt financing and may indicate a higher risk of insolvency.
7. Interest Coverage Ratio: Adesso SE's interest coverage ratio is 2.3, which is relatively low. This metric indicates the company's ability to cover its interest expenses with its earnings.
8. Return on Equity (ROE): Adesso SE's ROE has been around 2.96% in recent years. This metric shows the company's ability to generate returns for its shareholders.
9. Return on Assets (ROA): Adesso SE's ROA has been around 2.08% in recent years. This metric indicates the company's ability to generate returns from its assets.
10. Return on Capital (ROIC): Adesso SE's ROIC has been around 2.95% in recent years. This metric shows the company's ability to generate returns from its invested capital.

Growth Prospects and Profitability
Based on the provided financial data, adesso SE has shown significant revenue growth over the past few years. In 2023, its revenue increased by 26.49% compared to the previous year, reaching 1.14 billion. However, its earnings decreased by -88.79% to 3.21 million. This indicates that while the company is growing in terms of revenue, its profitability has not kept pace.

To assess the impact of growth prospects and profitability on the company's intrinsic value, we can use valuation multiples such as the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio and the Enterprise Value (EV) to Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) ratio.

As of the latest data, adesso SE's P/E ratio is 119.11, which is significantly higher than the industry average. This suggests that the market is pricing in high expectations for future growth. However, the company's EBITDA margin has been relatively stable, hovering around 4.62% over the past few years. This indicates that while the company is growing, its profitability has not improved significantly.

To determine the intrinsic value, we can use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis, which takes into account the company's expected future free cash flows, discounted at an appropriate rate. However, this requires making assumptions about the company's future growth rate and profitability, which can be challenging.

Debt Levels and Interest Rates
Debt levels and interest rates play a significant role in determining the intrinsic value of adesso SE. High debt levels can increase the risk of bankruptcy and decrease the company's ability to pay off its obligations, which can negatively impact its intrinsic value. On the other hand, low interest rates can reduce the cost of borrowing, which can increase the company's cash flow and, consequently, its intrinsic value.

In the case of adesso SE, the company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 69.2%, which is relatively high compared to other companies in the industry. This high debt level can increase the risk of bankruptcy and negatively impact the company's intrinsic value. Additionally, the company's interest coverage ratio is 2.3, which means that the company's earnings are only 2.3 times its interest expenses. This low interest coverage ratio can also negatively impact the company's intrinsic value.

However, the company's effective tax rate is relatively low, at 24.93%, which can increase the company's after-tax earnings and, consequently, its intrinsic value. Additionally, the company's free cash flow margin is relatively high, at 8.85%, which can also increase the company's intrinsic value.

Conclusion
In conclusion, the intrinsic value of adesso SE depends on various factors, including its revenue growth, earnings growth, operating margin, profit margin, free cash flow margin, debt-to-equity ratio, interest coverage ratio, ROE, ROA, and ROIC. While the company has shown impressive revenue growth, its profitability has not kept pace, leading to a high P/E ratio. Additionally, the company's high debt levels and low interest coverage ratio can negatively impact its intrinsic value. However, the company's low effective tax rate and high free cash flow margin can positively impact its intrinsic value. To determine the intrinsic value, we can use the DCF analysis, which requires making assumptions about the company's future growth rate and profitability.
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