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The cancer treatment landscape just got a major shake-up. New data from the DESTINY-Breast07 trial shows that the combination of Enhertu (trastuzumab deruxtecan) and pertuzumab delivers a 78.8% progression-free survival (PFS) rate at 18 months, outperforming historical standards for first-line treatment of HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer. This isn’t just incremental progress—it’s a game-changer for patients and investors alike. Let’s unpack the numbers and what they mean for
(NASDAQ: AZN) and Daiichi Sankyo (NASDAQ: DKIY).
The trial’s headline-grabbing results show that both the Enhertu monotherapy (78.2% PFS at 18 months) and the Enhertu-pertuzumab combo (78.8%) deliver remarkable durability. While the difference between the two arms isn’t statistically significant (the trial wasn’t designed to compare them directly), the combination arm’s 84% overall response rate and subgroup analyses (especially in patients with high tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes) highlight its potential as a next-gen standard of care.
Crucially, these results set the stage for the phase 3 DESTINY-Breast09 trial, which pits Enhertu-based regimens against the current standard—taxane plus trastuzumab/pertuzumab (THP). If the combo outperforms THP (a near certainty based on the 07 data), it could displace a multi-billion-dollar market leader and solidify Enhertu’s position as the go-to therapy for HER2-positive breast cancer.
Enhertu is a joint venture between AstraZeneca (AZN) and Daiichi Sankyo (DKIY), with both companies sharing development and commercialization costs. This partnership has already paid off: Enhertu’s prior FDA approvals (for previously treated patients) have driven astronomical sales growth. In 2023, Enhertu generated $2.3 billion in global sales, and that figure is expected to more than triple by 2028, according to EvaluatePharma.
But the real prize is the first-line market, which accounts for ~70% of HER2-positive breast cancer patients. If DESTINY-Breast09 delivers the goods, Enhertu could carve out a $5+ billion annual revenue stream, eclipsing Roche’s Herceptin and Kadcyla.
DKIY’s reliance on Enhertu is even more pronounced: The drug now accounts for ~30% of its total revenue and is its single biggest growth driver.
Competitive Edge:
Safety data is manageable, with interstitial lung disease (ILD) rates at ~14%—a known risk for ADCs but not prohibitive.
Market Potential:
For aggressive investors, AZN and DKIY are buys today. Both stocks have outperformed the healthcare sector over the past year, but there’s still upside. AZN’s P/E ratio of 18.5 and DKIY’s 22.3 P/E are fairly priced given their growth trajectories.
The biggest catalyst is the DESTINY-Breast09 readout, expected in early 2025. If positive, expect a 20-30% surge in both AZN and DKIY. Even a flat result would likely keep the stocks afloat, given Enhertu’s existing approvals and pipeline momentum.
The Enhertu story is too big to ignore. With its superior efficacy, strong safety profile, and partnered commercialization by two pharmaceutical giants, this ADC is poised to redefine care for HER2-positive breast cancer. For investors, AZN and DKIY are the vehicles to ride this wave.
Bottom line: Buy now and hold tight—this is a once-in-a-decade drug with multi-billion-dollar potential. The only question is: Can you afford to miss out?
Disclosure: The author holds no positions in AZN or DKIY but may initiate a position in the next 72 hours.
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