Energy Vault Outlook - Technical Weakness Persists Amid Mixed Market Signals

Market SnapshotTakeaway: Energy Vault is currently underperforming technically with a weak score of 3.33, suggesting investors should be cautious. News Highlights Recent news across the broader infrastructure and construction equipment sector has been mixed: Steel Tariff Changes: President Trump announced plans to double steel tariffs from 25% to 50%. This could impact Energy Vault's operations and market perception, especially if the company has exposure to steel-dependent infrastructure projects. Construction Equipment Growth: The Indian construction equipment industry is expected to see double-digit growth in FY26. This is positive for the sector but has not directly benefited Energy Vault so far. Cloud Mining Launch: PFM CRYPTO launched a 2-day XRP cloud mining contract, reflecting broader market interest in short-term crypto solutions, but this has little direct relevance for Energy Vault. Analyst Views & Fundamentals Analysts remain cautious about Energy Vault, as highlighted by a recent "Strong Sell" rating from Goldman Sachs. Analyst Brian Lee has a historical win rate of 66.7% but a negative average historical return of -11.29%. Simple Average Rating: 1.00 Weighted Rating (Performance-Weighted): 0.92 Rating Consistency: Consistent, with all recent ratings leaning heavily bearish. Price Trend: The stock has risen by 3.93% in the recent period, but the ratings suggest a mismatch with this trend. Money-Flow Trends Despite the recent price rise, fund flows are trending negatively across all investor categories. The overall inflow ratio is at 47.60%, with large and extra-large investor inflow ratios at 46.58% and 47.65%, respectively. This indicates that big-money players are not currently bullish. The fund flow score is 7.8 (internal diagnostic score), which is considered "good," but the overall trend remains negative. Key Technical Signals The technical indicators for Energy Vault remain predominantly bearish, with no bullish signals detected over the past 5 days: Long Lower Shadow: Score of 2.21 (internal diagnostic score) – indicates a neutral bias but weak momentum. RSI Overbought: Score of 1.00 (internal diagnostic score) – a clear bearish signal, suggesting overbought conditions. MACD Golden Cross: Score of 3.67 (internal diagnostic score) – neutral, but has historically returned -0.12% on average. Long Upper Shadow: Score of 6.45 (internal diagnostic score) – indicates a neutral rise but lacks strength. Recent Indicators by Date: 2025-11-07: Long Lower Shadow 2025-11-10: Long Upper Shadow 2025-11-11: Long Upper Shadow, RSI Overbought, MACD Golden Cross 2025-11-05 and 2025-11-06: Long Lower Shadow repeated The recent technical pattern is bearish, with overbought conditions and weak momentum suggesting the stock is in a vulnerable position. Conclusion Energy Vault appears to be in a technically weak position with bearish indicators dominating and no bullish signals in sight. The internal diagnostic technical score of 3.33 suggests caution is warranted. While the market has seen a 3.93% price rise, the bearish sentiment from analysts and the negative fund flows do not align with this trend. Investors should consider waiting for a pull-back or clearer signs of improvement before taking a position in Energy Vault.