Energy Fuels Skyrockets 13.67%—Can This Rare Earth Catalyst Ignite a New Bull Run?

Summary
• Energy Fuels (UUUU) surges 13.67% to $12.42, hitting 52-week high of $13.34
• MOU with Vulcan Elements to supply U.S.-sourced rare earth oxides for magnet production
• Options frenzy: 308,542 shares traded, 13.76% turnover rate
• Technicals bullish: 52W high at $13.34, RSI at 58.94, MACD trending upward
Energy Fuels has ignited a rare earth revolution, surging over 14% on news of a strategic partnership with Vulcan Elements to build a U.S.-based supply chain for rare earth magnets. The stock’s intraday high of $13.34—matching its 52-week peak—signals a pivotal moment for the critical minerals sector. With geopolitical tensions and AI-driven demand amplifying the need for domestic rare earths, UUUU’s rally reflects both technical momentum and strategic positioning.
Strategic MOU with Vulcan Elements Ignites Rare Earth Supply Chain Optimism
Energy Fuels’ 13.67% surge stems from a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Vulcan Elements to supply high-purity neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) and dysprosium (Dy) oxides for U.S. magnet production. The deal leverages Energy Fuels’ White Mesa Mill in Utah, the only U.S. facility capable of processing monazite into separated rare earth oxides. By sourcing monazite from Florida and Georgia, the partnership aims to reduce reliance on Chinese supply chains, aligning with U.S. policy priorities. The MOU also follows Energy Fuels’ recent production of 99.9% pure dysprosium oxide, a critical component for high-performance magnets in EVs and defense systems. This dual catalyst—strategic collaboration and technical milestones—has galvanized investor sentiment.

Industrial Metals Sector Volatile as MP Materials Drags Down
The Industrial Metals and Mining sector remains volatile, with MP Materials (MP) down 3.33% despite Energy Fuels’ rally. MP, a key uranium producer, faces pressure as Energy Fuels diversifies into rare earths and uranium, positioning itself at the crossroads of clean energy and advanced tech. While MP’s decline reflects sector-wide jitters over uranium price corrections, Energy Fuels’ unique dual focus on uranium and rare earths—coupled with its U.S. production capabilities—has created a divergence in investor sentiment. The sector’s mixed performance underscores the importance of strategic differentiation in critical minerals.

Options Playbook: Capitalizing on UUUU’s Bullish Momentum
• Technical Indicators:
- 52W High: $13.34 (current price at 12.42, 6.7% below)
- 200D MA: $5.85 (far below current price)
- RSI: 58.94 (neutral to bullish)
- MACD: 0.497 (bullish divergence from signal line 0.515)
- Bollinger Bands: Price at $12.42 vs. upper band $10.79 (overbought)
• Trading Setup: UUUU’s short-term bullish trend aligns with its 52W high retest. Key resistance lies at $13.34 (52W high), with support at $11.42 (intraday low). A break above $13.34 could trigger a retest of the $13.50–$14.00 range, while a pullback to $11.50–$12.00 offers a low-risk entry. No leveraged ETF data is available, but the stock’s high turnover (30.9M) and implied volatility (100%+) suggest strong liquidity for options.
• Top Options:
- UUUU20250905C13 (Call, $13 strike, 9/5 expiry):
- IV: 103.71% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.435 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.058 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.176 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: $308K (liquid)
- Payoff: At 5% upside ($13.04), payoff = $0.04 per share. This contract balances leverage and liquidity, ideal for a short-term bullish bet.
- UUUU20250912C13 (Call, $13 strike, 9/12 expiry):
- IV: 99.06% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.463 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.042 (moderate time decay)
- Gamma: 0.146 (solid sensitivity)
- Turnover: $14.3K (liquid)
- Payoff: At 5% upside ($13.04), payoff = $0.04 per share. This contract offers extended time to capture the rally, with slightly lower theta decay.
• Action: Aggressive bulls may consider UUUU20250905C13 into a breakout above $13.34. For a longer play, UUUU20250912C13 offers flexibility if the stock consolidates.

Backtest Energy Fuels Stock Performance
The backtest of UUUU's performance after a 14% intraday surge shows favorable short-to-medium-term gains, highlighting the strategy's effectiveness for capturing intraday volatility. The 3-Day win rate is 48.87%, the 10-Day win rate is 51.30%, and the 30-Day win rate is 55.30%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns within the short and medium term. The maximum return during the backtest was 14.37% over 30 days, suggesting that while there is some volatility, significant gains can be achieved by leveraging intraday movements.

UUUU’s Rare Earth Revolution: A Strategic Inflection Point
Energy Fuels’ 13.67% surge is not just a technical rally—it’s a strategic inflection point for the U.S. rare earth supply chain. The MOU with Vulcan Elements, combined with Energy Fuels’ production of 99.9% pure dysprosium oxide, positions the stock as a linchpin in the transition to AI, EVs, and defense tech. While MP Materials’ 3.33% decline highlights sector volatility, UUUU’s dual focus on uranium and rare earths offers a unique value proposition. Investors should monitor the $13.34 52W high as a critical level; a break above could validate the stock’s long-term thesis. For now, the options market and technicals suggest a bullish bias—position accordingly.