Earnings preview: Toll Brothers (TOL) braces for impact amidst housing sector uncertainties
AInvestTuesday, Feb 20, 2024 4:08 pm ET
1min read
TOL --

Toll Brothers, a leading name in luxury homebuilding in the U.S., is on the cusp of revealing its Q1 financial outcomes tonight. The company is anticipated to unveil a 4.7% increase in earnings per share (EPS) year-over-year to $1.78, alongside a 5.4% rise in revenue to $1.876 billion.

Key focal points for investors in this earnings report will be the company's insights on the interplay between prevailing high interest rates and consumer preferences, in addition to any updates on rising costs. 

Recent months have seen Toll Brothers caught in the housing market's turbulence, exacerbated by interest rate concerns. Despite a slight recovery post D.R. Horton's less than stellar disclosure last month, Toll Brothers' stock has not rebounded to its 52-week zenith of $123.60.

Trading at a forward earnings multiple of 8.2x, Toll Brothers positions itself uniquely when compared to peers like KB Home and Taylor Morrison Home, standing at a premium, yet trailing behind Pulte Home, Tri Pointe Homes, and LGI Homes in valuation. 

Specializing in luxury residential communities across the U.S., Toll Brothers has diversified its offerings to include single-story living and homes featuring primary bedrooms on the first floor, amidst communities laden with recreational amenities.

Currently, 18 Wall Street analysts have cast a Moderate Buy consensus on Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), with a market cap of $10.66 billion and an enterprise value of $12.34 billion. Its forward P/E ratio of 8.45 falls beneath the S&P 500's average of 18.7, marking its stance within the Consumer Cyclical sector, which boasts a 27.64 P/E ratio on a trailing twelve-month basis.

Toll Brothers stands out for its robust brand presence and diverse housing solutions, particularly in the luxury segment, potentially offering it an edge in the fluctuating housing market. Nonetheless, the looming challenges of heightened interest rates and other economic factors remain significant hurdles in sustaining growth.

$TOL(TOL)

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