Earnings preview: KB Home's resilience in a tough market
AInvestWednesday, Mar 20, 2024 1:01 pm ET
1min read

Let's dive into KB Home (KBH) and unpack its investment appeal. This analysis aims to shed light on the company's growth prospects amid the current housing market's ups and downs, offering insights for savvy decision-making.

KB Home (KBH) Earnings Preview

As KB Home gears up for its Q1 earnings release, the spotlight is on how it's weathering the stormy housing market. Despite the headwinds of high mortgage rates softening home prices and upping buyer incentives, the housing sector's long-term outlook looks robust.

Past Performance and Market Reaction

Despite recent turbulence, notably Lennar's (LEN) Q1 stumble, KB Home's stock has shown remarkable resilience, hovering just 3% shy of its peak. This strength underscores a bullish take on the homebuilding sector, buoyed by a persistent housing shortage.

Key Metrics to Watch

The upcoming earnings will have everyone's eyes on crucial figures: average selling price, housing gross profit margin, net orders, and backlog. Last quarter saw an average selling price of $487,300 with a housing gross profit margin at 20.7%. Meanwhile, net orders leaped 176% to 1,909, with a backlog value rounding off at $2.67 billion.

FY24 Guidance and Analyst Opinions

Expectations are set for KB Home to update its forecasts for housing revenue, average selling price, and housing gross profit margin. Previous projections pointed to housing revenue between $6.40-$6.80 billion, with an average price in the $480-$490K range and gross profit margins pegged at about 21.0%. Currently, KB Home carries a hold consensus from 14 Wall Street analysts.

Conclusion

With KB Home's Q1 earnings on the horizon, the focus is on its ability to steer through the market's choppy waters. Sporting a forward P/E ratio of 8.9 and a $5.16 billion market cap, KB Home presents an appealing option within the Consumer Cyclical sector. Armed with insight into crucial metrics and industry dynamics, investors are better positioned to gauge KB Home's true value.


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