DuPont de Nemours Outlook - Navigating a Weak Technical Picture Amid Mixed Analyst Views

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: Despite mixed analyst views and a strong recent price increase (2.12%), the technical outlook for DuPont de Nemours (DD) is weak, with bearish signals prevailing.

News Highlights

Recent news across the financial landscape offers mixed signals:

• U.S. Vaccine Policy Shifts: Updates in how U.S. government approves and recommends vaccines may have long-term implications for healthcare and biotech sectors, but the direct impact on DuPont appears limited.
• China’s Industrial Activity: China’s manufacturing activity, as measured by the PMI, showed a slight improvement in May, rising to 49.5 from 49.0. While still below 50 (contraction), this may ease trade pressures on global chemical producers like DuPont.
• Uranium Mining Activity: With the Trump administration greenlighting a uranium mine in Utah, this could hint at a potential revival in the sector. However, industry activity remains dependent on commodity pricing trends, which are out of DuPont’s control.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts have shown a generally positive stance, but with some inconsistency in their recommendations. The simple average rating for DD is 4.33, and the performance-weighted rating is 3.85. However, the rating consistency is low, with three distinct ratings: one “Strong Buy” and two “Buy” ratings, indicating some divergence in expectations.

These ratings are in alignment with the recent price trend of 2.12% upward movement, but the bearish technical signals suggest the market may not be fully convinced of the fundamentals.

Key fundamental factors and their scores:

• Net cash flow from operating activities per share (YoY growth rate %): 18.59% (score: 3.0)
• Quick ratio: 93.86% (score: 1.0)
• Net cash flow from operating activities (YoY growth rate %): 18.93% (score: 3.0)
• Total profit / EBIT (%): -279.55% (score: 0.0)
• Cash-UP: 16.45% (score: 2.0)
• CFOA: 1.13% (score: 0.0)
• Cost of sales ratio (%): 62.64% (score: 2.0)
• Current ratio: 141.15% (score: 3.0)
• Cash-MV: -85.32% (score: 2.0)

The internal diagnostic fundamental score is 6.35 (out of 10), suggesting moderate financial health but with room for improvement, particularly in areas like operating profitability and leverage.

Money-Flow Trends

The fund-flow patterns for DD reveal a mixed picture:

• Overall inflow ratio: 48.74%, suggesting that slightly over half of the market activity is bullish.
• Big-money (large and extra-large) flows: These show a negative trend with inflow ratios of 48.47% and 48.39% respectively, indicating that institutional players are cautious or withdrawing.
• Retail (small) inflow trend: Positive, with an inflow ratio of 50.15%, showing that retail investors remain optimistic despite the bearish technical signals.
• Fund-flow score: 7.8 (out of 10), which is considered good, meaning that DD is still attracting investment, albeit with some caution from larger players.

Key Technical Signals

The technical analysis for DD paints a bearish picture with a technical score of 1.58, and the overall trend is weak, with 5 bearish indicators and 0 bullish ones.

Internal diagnostic scores (0-10) for key indicators:

• WR Overbought: 2.38 — neutral rise
• MACD Death Cross: 2.51 — neutral bias
• Ex-Dividend Date: 1.0 — biased bearish
• Dividend Payable Date: 1.0 — biased bearish
• Dividend Record Date: 1.0 — biased bearish

Recent technical indicators by date (last 5 days):

• 2025-09-15: Dividend Payable Date
• 2025-08-29: Ex-Dividend Date, Dividend Record Date

These events are historically bearish, and their clustering indicates a potential short-term pullback. The key technical insight is that bearish signals dominate the chart, and the market should proceed with caution.

Conclusion

DuPont de Nemours is in a tricky position. While fundamentals and retail sentiment are mildly positive, the technical indicators are weak and bearish, with five bearish signals outpacing any bullish momentum. The internal diagnostic technical score is 1.58, and we recommend consider waiting for a pull-back before entering a long position. Investors should also monitor the upcoming dividend dates for potential short-term volatility.