DuPont de Nemours Outlook - A Bearish Technical Outlook Despite Mixed Analysts and Stable Fundamentals

1. Market Snapshot

Takeaway: The technical outlook for DuPont de Nemours (DD) is weak, with an internal diagnostic score of 1.44, suggesting investors should proceed with caution or avoid the stock at this time.

2. News Highlights

Recent global developments may have indirect bearing on DuPont’s operations. Here are a few notable stories from the past week:

• China’s factory activity contracts in May — The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) edged up to 49.5 from 49.0 in April, indicating a slight slowdown in the rate of contraction. This hints at cautious optimism in a key market for DuPont’s materials and chemical products.
• Trump’s tariff announcements — Ongoing trade policy shifts from the Trump administration, particularly on steel and aluminum, could affect downstream industries that rely on DuPont’s products. The evolving tariff landscape adds uncertainty for manufacturers and may impact demand for materials like resins and coatings.
• Uranium mining revival — With Trump fast-tracking a uranium mine in Utah, the mining sector is showing signs of recovery. While not directly related, a broader industrial rebound could benefit companies like DuPont in the long run.

3. Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts remain divided, but overall sentiment is cautiously positive. Three key institutions—Keybanc, RBC Capital, and UBS—have issued recommendations within the last 20 days, with a mix of “Buy” and “Strong Buy” ratings:

• Average rating score (simple mean): 4.33
• Weighted rating score (performance-weighted): 3.85
• Rating consistency: There are notable differences among institutions, with UBS historically showing the weakest performance at 40% win rate. RBC Capital and Keybanc have stronger track records at 66.7% and 75% respectively.

The stock has risen 0.48% in the last few trading sessions, aligning with a generally positive but not overly bullish sentiment. However, the internal fundamental model assigns a score of 5.79 (on a 0-10 scale), suggesting stable but not robust fundamentals.

Key Fundamental Factor Values and Scores

• Net cash flow from operating activities per share (YoY growth rate): 18.59% — internal diagnostic score: 3
• Gross profit margin: 37.36% — internal diagnostic score: 2
• Net cash flow from operating activities (YoY growth rate): 18.93% — internal diagnostic score: 3
• Cash-UP ratio: 0.1645 — internal diagnostic score: 2
• Cost of sales ratio: 62.64% — internal diagnostic score: 2
• Current ratio: 1.41 — internal diagnostic score: 3
• Cash-MV ratio: -0.85 — internal diagnostic score: 2

4. Money-Flow Trends

The recent flow of funds into and out of DD shows a mixed picture. While small and medium investors are showing a positive trend, large and extra-large investors are moving negatively:

• Small inflow ratio: 50.24%
• Medium inflow ratio: 50.01%
• Large inflow ratio: 49.45%
• Extra-large inflow ratio: 47.96%
• Overall inflow ratio: 48.67% — internal diagnostic score: 7.8 (rated as "good")

Big money is still cautious, with block and large investors trending downward. Retail and mid-sized investors are pushing DD higher in the short term, but this may not be enough to sustain momentum.

5. Key Technical Signals

The technical indicators for DD over the last five days are bearish, with zero bullish signals and four bearish ones. The overall trend is negative, and the internal diagnostic score is a weak 1.44. Key signals include:

• MACD Death Cross: Internal diagnostic score: 1.38 — A bearish crossover that historically has led to an average return of -0.96%.
• Ex-Dividend Date: Internal diagnostic score: 1.0 — A typical period of price drop for shareholders.
• Dividend Record Date: Internal diagnostic score: 1.0 — Also historically linked to weak returns (-0.33%).
• WR Overbought: Internal diagnostic score: 2.38 — A neutral signal suggesting caution around overbought territory.

Recent chart patterns include a MACD Death Cross on 2025-09-10, a WR Overbought signal on 2025-09-11, and both Ex-Dividend and Dividend Record Dates noted on 2025-08-29. These patterns, combined with the bearish tilt in the overall technical environment, suggest investors should be cautious.

6. Conclusion

While DuPont de Nemours maintains a relatively stable fundamental position and has attracted some recent investor attention, the technical outlook is bearish and the internal diagnostic scores suggest a cautious stance. With four out of four recent indicators signaling downside pressure and a low technical score of 1.44, investors are advised to consider waiting for a pull-back before taking a new position in DD. Meanwhile, the mixed analyst ratings and strong small-cap inflows offer some short-term support, but long-term momentum is yet to be confirmed.