Duluth Holdings' Q2 2025: Contradictions in Promotional Discipline, SG&A Savings, and Inventory Rationalization Timelines

Generated by AI AgentEarnings Decrypt
Friday, Sep 5, 2025 2:07 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Duluth Holdings reported 240 bps gross margin expansion to 54.7% in Q2 2025 despite 7% revenue decline.

- Inventory reduced 12% YoY to $148.1M through optimized planning and $10M SG&A cost cuts on track.

- Tariff mitigation via July/Aug price hikes and vendor negotiations expected to offset ~$15M of $17.5M tariff costs.

- Maintained $20-25M adjusted EBITDA guidance with ~$10M liquidity and plans for 2026 SKU rationalization.

The above is the analysis of the conflicting points in this earnings call

Date of Call: September 4, 2025

Financials Results

  • Revenue: $131.7M, down 7% YOY; down 9.8% excluding wholesale shipment shift
  • EPS: $0.04 GAAP; $0.03 adjusted, up $0.05 YOY
  • Gross Margin: 54.7%, up 240 bps YOY

Guidance:

  • Maintaining FY2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $20–$25M.
  • Expect FY2025 tariff impact ~ $15M; average tariff rate ~12%; impact primarily in H2.
  • Price increases (effective Jul 25 and Aug 8) meeting elasticity goals; vendor negotiations and receipt timing to mitigate tariffs.
  • On track for ~$10M SG&A cost reductions in FY2025.
  • Year-end inventory expected to decline double digits YOY; peak borrowings are behind.
  • FY2025 capex ~ $17M, including two new store openings (Kansas City, KS; Maple Grove, MN).
  • Maintaining marketing spend as a percent of sales.

Business Commentary:

  • Promotional Strategy and Gross Margin Improvement:
  • Duluth Holdings reported a gross margin expansion of 240 basis points to 54.7% in Q2, with an 8% increase in average unit retail.
  • The improvement was driven by a rebalancing of promotions to restore price integrity by reducing the depth of discounts.

  • Inventory Management and Cost Control:

  • Inventory at the end of Q2 was $148.1 million, a decrease of 12% compared to the prior year, with store in-stock levels up by 200 basis points.
  • These improvements were due to enhanced processes like enterprise planning, which optimized inventory receipts and positioning.

  • Tariff Mitigation and Pricing Strategy:

  • Duluth Holdings initiated targeted price increases and is on track to offset approximately $15 million of a $17.5 million tariff-related cost increase for the year.
  • The company is also negotiating with vendors and managing the timing of inventory receipts to mitigate tariff impacts.

  • Retail Performance and Store Optimization:

  • Retail store sales increased by 5.3%, with improved traffic trends, higher conversion rates, and increased average order values.
  • The success was driven by targeted marketing efforts and optimized inventory allocation, leading to improved in-stock levels.

Sentiment Analysis:

  • Gross margin expanded 240 bps to 54.7% despite a 7% sales decline. Adjusted EBITDA rose $1.5M to $12M (9.1% of sales). Management is maintaining FY2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $20–$25M, is on track for ~$10M cost reductions, ended Q2 with $73M liquidity, and reduced inventory 12% YOY.

Q&A:

  • Question from Jonathan Komp (Robert W. Baird): What metrics guide your promotional pullback, and how confident are you maintaining discipline into fall/holiday?
    Response: Focus is on gross margin dollars via shallower discounts (frequency unchanged); early success in H1 gives confidence to sustain reduced depth through H2.

  • Question from Jonathan Komp (Robert W. Baird): Can gross margin continue expanding in the back half given tariffs?
    Response: Price hikes (Jul 25/Aug 8), vendor negotiations, and receipt timing are mitigating tariffs; expect to meet gross margin goals with a larger tariff impact in Q4 than Q3.

  • Question from Jonathan Komp (Robert W. Baird): How are the $10M SG&A savings tracking and ramping?
    Response: About one-third realized in Q2, driven by headcount reductions and cuts to controllable expenses; on track for full ~$10M in FY2025.

  • Question from Jonathan Komp (Robert W. Baird): What’s needed to define longer-term margin targets?
    Response: Complete 2025 actions on expense control and price integrity, then 2026 SKU/style reduction (~20%) and inventory productivity; once rationalized, a stronger long-term margin profile can be set.

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