The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) surged on Friday, adding another 230 points, or 0.5%, as the market passed its final inflation test of 2024. The S&P 500 rose 0.2%, while the tech-weighted Nasdaq edged 0.2% lower. Both indexes held support at their 21-day exponential moving averages. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell two basis points to 4.41%, reflecting investor confidence in the economy's stability.
The positive market reaction was driven by several factors that differed from previous periods. Firstly, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell, indicating investor confidence in the economy's stability. This was a significant shift from the previous period, where yields had been volatile and rising, indicating uncertainty and inflation concerns.
Secondly, the Purchasing Managers' Index for November rose to 55.3 from 54.1 in October, signaling a strong manufacturing sector. This was a notable improvement from the previous period, where manufacturing activity had been sluggish.
Thirdly, consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan's Survey, came in at 71.8 for November, up from 70.3 in October. This indicated that consumers were more optimistic about the economy, which is crucial for driving consumer spending and economic growth.
Lastly, the market reacted positively to the news that the Department of Labor's Employment Situation Summary for November showed a gain of 260,000 jobs, beating expectations of 180,000. This was a significant improvement from the previous period, where job growth had been slower.
In conclusion, the market's positive reaction to the inflation data in 2024 was driven by a combination of factors, including a stable yield on the 10-year Treasury note, a strong manufacturing sector, consumer optimism, and robust job growth. These factors differed from previous periods, where the market had been more volatile and uncertain.
The Dow's surge on Friday was a testament to the market's confidence in the economy's resilience and the Fed's ability to manage inflation. As we head into the final stretch of 2024, investors can expect continued volatility, but the market's positive reaction to inflation data suggests that the worst may be behind us.
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