U.S. Dollar's Safe-Haven Status Under Pressure as Global Trust Wanes

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Tuesday, Apr 1, 2025 7:34 pm ET1min read

The U.S. dollar's status as the world's safe-haven currency is under significant pressure, according to an expert who highlights that inflation, tariffs, and waning global trust in the U.S. are diminishing its appeal. The expert's warnings come as the U.S. implements new tariffs, creating an atmosphere of uncertainty for investors, consumers, and businesses. The impending announcement of these tariffs has left markets struggling for direction, with various financial instruments experiencing volatility.

The expert observes that the U.S. dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves has been steadily declining for years. While the greenback's nominal share of official FX reserve holdings in the third quarter of last year fell to a record low of 57.3% from over 72.0% in 2001, it slightly increased to 57.8% in the fourth quarter. However, when adjusted for currency fluctuations, the dollar's share of reserves slid to a record low of 54.1% from 55.3%. This trend is driven by central banks around the world diversifying their reserves away from the dollar and into other currencies, including the Korean won, Australian and Canadian dollars, and China's renminbi.

The expert emphasizes that this diversification is not a sudden reaction to market fluctuations but a long-term trend that has been ongoing for years. The emergence of any new world order in the coming years would likely only strengthen this trend. The expert also points out that the dollar's dominance is not being challenged by its nearest rival, the euro, but by a variety of smaller, "nontraditional" reserve currencies. This has created a unique equilibrium where the dollar is seeing its dominance gradually diminish, but it remains the world's sole reserve currency.

The expert cautions that the U.S. dollar's safe-haven status is under threat, and that the tariffs and other policies of the U.S. government are eroding global trust in the currency. The expert also notes that the U.S. dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves has been gradually declining for years, and that this trend is likely to continue as central banks around the world diversify their reserves away from the dollar and into other currencies. The expert concludes that while the U.S. dollar may still be the world's preeminent reserve currency, its dominance is weakening, and that this trend is likely to continue in the coming years.

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