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Speculation surrounding the potential launch of a Dogecoin (DOGE) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has been a hot topic in the cryptocurrency market. Some experts are optimistic that if asset management giant
files for a DOGE ETF this year, the price of Dogecoin could surge to as high as $50. This projection is based on BlackRock's significant influence and past involvement in the crypto industry.Currently, Dogecoin is experiencing a period of intense selloff pressure. The Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), which was anticipated to boost DOGE's price, has not yet delivered the expected results. This has led to discussions about other potential catalysts for Dogecoin's price movement. Given its limited smart contract functionalities, analysts believe that the introduction of a Dogecoin ETF could revitalize the memecoin's price outlook in the mid to long term.
As a memecoin, Dogecoin has seen significant price fluctuations in recent weeks, with a year-to-date decline of 45.66%. While reaching a $1 price target seems challenging, more ambitious targets are being considered if top asset managers like BlackRock provide direct support for the coin.
BlackRock is already a dominant player in the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF markets. The recent addition of a Bitcoin ETF to BlackRock's $150 billion model portfolio has further solidified its position. This success has led some to speculate that BlackRock could replicate this strong adoption for a DOGE ETF. Grayscale Investments has already launched its Dogecoin Trust for institutional investors, which many see as a step towards a future DOGE ETF filing. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has formally acknowledged Grayscale’s spot ETF application for Dogecoin, marking a departure from its historically rigid stance on altcoin ETFs.
Analysts estimate a 75% chance of a Dogecoin ETF approval, which has sparked excitement about potential price movements for DOGE. However, the current outlook suggests that the possibility of BlackRock filing an XRP ETF application, let alone a DOGE ETF this year, is very slim. The asset manager has not filed any other ETFs besides BTC and ETH, likely due to past scrutiny from the SEC regarding altcoin ETFs. With the SEC now under a new pro-crypto administration, BlackRock may reconsider its stance on altcoin ETFs, potentially leading to DOGE ETF acceptance in the future.

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