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Dogecoin (DOGE) stabilized near its $0.19 support zone following a 50% flash crash triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's 100% tariff announcement on Chinese imports, according to Coindesk [1]. The price plummeted from $0.22 to $0.11 within minutes before recovering to the $0.19–$0.20 range, driven by institutional demand and ETF flows. Whale activity intensified during the downturn, with exchange outflows reaching $23 million and 2 billion
added to corporate wallets. The 21Shares institutional DOGE ETF (TDOG) launched during the volatility, offering regulated exposure to the asset.Technical analysis suggests DOGE's $0.19–$0.20 support zone is critical for a potential rebound. BlockNews [3] notes that a sustained recovery above this level could target $0.48, aligning with historical Fibonacci retracement levels and ascending channel patterns. Blockchain.news [4] highlights a $0.31 intermediate resistance as a 29% upside target within four weeks, with the $0.48 level representing a major psychological and technical hurdle. Ambcrypto [5] corroborates the $0.19 support as a "launchpad" for bullish momentum, citing its alignment with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone.

Whale accumulation remains a key driver. Coindesk [1] and The Currency Analytics report that large holders added 30 million DOGE during October 6–10, reinforcing confidence in the price floor. Over 96% of DOGE supply is now controlled by the top 1% of addresses, amplifying the influence of institutional flows. The ascending triangle pattern, with resistance at $0.265 and support at $0.251, suggests a breakout above $0.265 could trigger a rally toward $0.27–$0.30, as outlined by Coindesk [6].
The Trump administration's tariff policy introduced macroeconomic risks, causing cross-market selloffs that impacted DOGE alongside equities. However, ETF launches and whale activity have offset broader bearish sentiment. Coingape [2] and Ambcrypto [5] emphasize that institutional demand, including the REX-Osprey DOJE ETF, could validate DOGE's long-term potential. Analysts project a 4,000% gain to $15 if a spot ETF is approved and the crypto bull run continues, though near-term focus remains on $0.48 as a pivotal target.
Volatility remains a concern. DOGE's 57% intraday range of $0.14 on October 10–11 marked a year-high swing, with volume surging to 4.6 billion tokens-nearly triple the 30-day average [1]. While RSI indicators show oversold conditions, Bollinger bands suggest short-term mean reversion. BlockNews [3] warns that a breakdown below $0.19 could trigger a slide toward $0.14–$0.10, invalidating the bullish case.
Investors are advised to monitor key levels: $0.19 (support), $0.265 (resistance), and $0.27 (immediate target). Blockchain.news [4] recommends a scaled entry strategy, with initial positions at $0.24 and additional accumulation near $0.22. Stop-loss levels below $0.21 are suggested to mitigate downside risks.
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