Dogecoin News Today: Retail Surge and SOPR Dip Set Stage for Dogecoin's $0.25 Push

Dogecoin (DOGE) is showing signs of a potential rebound, with analysts and on-chain metrics suggesting the meme coin could break out of its current range and target $0.25 to $0.33 if key levels hold. The cryptocurrency, which has been trading near $0.20, is supported by a combination of technical indicators and broader market sentiment that could fuel a resurgence in 2025.

The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for Dogecoin has dipped below 1.00, signaling that holders are selling at a loss amid market capitulation. This metric, tracked by Glassnode, often acts as a bullish contraction signal, indicating weak hands have exited positions, reducing downward pressure on the asset, according to an FxStreet report. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on daily charts show growing momentum, with the RSI rising to 59 and the MACD line staying above the signal line, the same FxStreet analysis notes. Traders are closely watching the 100-day Exponential Moving Average ($0.2038) and the 200-day EMA ($0.2144) as critical psychological barriers. A sustained close above these levels could validate the uptrend and attract further buying interest.

Market analysts have identified $0.18 as a key support level for Dogecoin. If bulls defend this threshold, the next potential targets lie at $0.25 and $0.33, according to crypto chart analyst Ali Martinez at Benzinga. The broader cryptocurrency market has also provided a tailwind, with Bitcoin reclaiming $115,000 and easing U.S.-China trade tensions boosting risk appetite. However, delays in Dogecoin spot ETF approvals and the U.S. government shutdown have limited catalysts for a sustained rally, keeping the coin's price range-bound near $0.20, the FxStreet report adds.

Retail investor activity and social media-driven speculation are amplifying short-term volatility. A surge in Dogecoin wallet activity and transaction volume suggests growing retail participation, while viral social media trends continue to fuel speculative buying, according to Smart DHgate. Institutional interest, though muted, remains a wildcard. Spot ETF inflows for Bitcoin and Ethereum have been modest, but increased institutional adoption of Dogecoin could provide a liquidity boost if the market turns more bullish.

Regulatory developments are also shaping the landscape. The recent Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, which clarified regulatory boundaries between the CFTC and SEC, has added a layer of stability to the crypto market. However, uncertainty persists over macroeconomic conditions, including inflation and trade policy, which could either bolster or hinder Dogecoin's recovery, according to a TheStreet article.

While the technical outlook is cautiously optimistic, risks remain. Profit-taking at key levels like $0.2095 and the 200-day EMA could trigger temporary corrections. Additionally, the SOPR reset, while bullish, is not a guarantee of sustained gains. Traders are advised to monitor the SOPR and on-chain metrics for confirmation of a lasting trend reversal.

If Dogecoin manages to break above $0.2144 and maintain momentum, the path to $0.50 becomes more plausible. However, this scenario hinges on broader market adoption, regulatory clarity, and the resolution of macroeconomic uncertainties. For now, the coin's fate appears tied to its ability to consolidate above $0.20 while attracting new buyers amid a volatile but increasingly bullish environment.