Will Dogecoin (DOGE) Stabilize Above Key Fibonacci Support in December 2025?

Dogecoin (DOGE) has entered a critical juncture as it hovers near the $0.13–$0.15 range, a zone that has historically acted as a fulcrum for both bearish capitulation and bullish rebounds. With technical indicators, liquidation risks, and price action painting a mixed picture, traders are left to weigh whether DOGE can stabilize above key Fibonacci support levels or face a deeper correction. This analysis examines the interplay of Fibonacci retracements, RSI trends, liquidation data, and recent price dynamics to assess the likelihood of a December 2025 stabilization.

Fibonacci Support and Accumulation Zones

The $0.139–$0.141 level represents a confluence of Fibonacci support and a historical accumulation zone, having previously stabilized DOGE before surging higher. This range aligns with the 0.236 retracement level at $0.1787, which failed to hold in late November, triggering algorithmic selling and liquidation flows. A breakdown below this zone would project DOGE toward the $0.165–$0.150 demand area, where prior accumulation occurred but bears remain dominant. According to analysts, a sustained close above $0.18 is necessary to negate bearish momentum, as institutional selling has already confirmed a structural shift below that threshold.

RSI and MACD: Mixed Signals Amid Bearish Control

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for DOGE currently sits at 40.1, indicating neutral conditions but lacking the bullish divergence needed to confirm a reversal. According to technical analysis, the MACD line remains above the signal line, suggesting residual bullish momentum. However, recent price action reveals a disconnect: while RSI shows signs of divergence, the 50-day and 200-day EMAs indicate DOGE is significantly below its average, reinforcing a bearish bias. This "death cross" pattern, coupled with a breakdown through $0.155, has intensified selling pressure.

Liquidation Risks and Institutional Pressure

Liquidation data underscores the fragility of DOGE's current position. If the price falls below $0.13, long liquidations could exceed $100 million, exacerbating downward momentum. This aligns with the $0.15 support level identified by technical analysts, which, if broken, could open the path to $0.095. Institutional selling has already been confirmed by the breakdown through $0.18, with market structure favoring further declines unless DOGE reclaims $0.165.

Price Action and On-Chain Indicators

DOGE's price has plunged from $0.160 to $0.149 in November 2025, breaking critical support at $0.155. While on-chain data shows early signs of whale accumulation and positive net exchange inflows, these signals remain inconsistent with the broader bearish trend. Prediction markets reflect extreme pessimism, assigning near-zero probability to DOGE reaching new all-time highs before year-end. Traders are now fixated on whether exchange inflows persist and the potential approval of a DOGE ETF as catalysts for a short-term rebound.

Investment Recommendation: A High-Risk Scenario

For short-to-medium-term traders, DOGE presents a high-risk, high-reward proposition. A stabilization above $0.15 could attract bargain hunters and trigger a temporary rebound, particularly if exchange inflows and whale accumulation persist. However, a breakdown below $0.13 would likely accelerate liquidations and target $0.095, making risk management paramount. Given the fragile technical setup and institutional selling pressure, a cautious approach is warranted. Traders should consider stop-loss orders below $0.14 and monitor the $0.165 level as a critical inflection point for a potential reversal.

In conclusion, while Fibonacci support at $0.13–$0.15 offers a glimmer of hope, the broader bearish momentum and liquidation risks suggest DOGE's path to stabilization is fraught with challenges. Investors should prioritize liquidity and avoid overexposure until clearer signs of a reversal emerge.