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Dogecoin (DOGE) is currently facing a pivotal moment as it struggles to maintain support at the $0.20 level amidst a significant decline in network activity. Over the past week, the broader meme cryptocurrency market has contracted severely, with Dogecoin losing a significant portion of its market capitalization, highlighting the volatility inherent in crypto markets.
The ongoing contraction in Dogecoin’s network is concerning, as the rate of new wallet addresses has plummeted from 1.29 million during its peak to just 31,000 at present, marking an astonishing 97% drop. This sharp decline indicates waning interest and participation in the Dogecoin ecosystem. With a significant reduction in new investors entering the market, the balance of supply and demand is tilting towards unfavorable conditions for DOGE. As holders continue to sell their assets, the pressure is intensified on Dogecoin’s price points.
If the current trend of decreasing address activity persists, DOGE is likely to face continued bearish pressure, pushing its long-term price trajectory further into the negative. Moving away from its previous high of $0.48 established during the post-election period will become increasingly challenging, as even the ambitious target of $1 seems further out of reach amid these weakening metrics.
Amidst a wider market downturn, Dogecoin has lost about 18% of its weekly gains, with market liquidation totaling approximately $7.64 million within just 24 hours. This rapid loss suggests a loss of investor confidence and underscores an unstable trading environment. Analysis reveals that holdings in wallet categories of 1 million to 10 million tokens have dipped significantly, hitting a six-month low with over 460 million DOGE sold off. Such substantial movement from major wallet segments typically precedes further price drops.
Moreover, a notable whale is reported to have divested an astonishing 6 billion DOGE since the end of the election rally, exacerbating the negative price momentum. Looking ahead, the possibility of a rebound toward the previous resistance level of $0.25 appears questionable given the current accumulation trends and broader macroeconomic uncertainties. If bearish sentiment persists and Bitcoin struggles below its critical $84,000 support, Dogecoin may encounter significant obstacles in securing its current support level of $0.20.
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