Diverging Paths: ADA's Bearish Pressures vs. BlockDAG's Testnet Momentum and PUMP's Speculative Resurgence

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Friday, Sep 26, 2025 10:15 am ET2min read
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- Cardano (ADA) breaks below $0.84 support at $0.81, with bearish technical indicators and whale selling driving 6.1% decline.

- BlockDAG's $405M presale and testnet launch on Sept 25 attract 312,000 holders, contrasting ADA's bearish momentum.

- Pump.fun (PUMP) rebounds to $0.007 amid $1B trading volume, fueled by memecoin speculation and buybacks.

- Diverging trajectories highlight ADA's short-term correction risks versus BlockDAG's structured growth approach and PUMP's liquidity-driven volatility.

Cardano (ADA) faces intensified selling pressure as on-chain metrics indicate growing bearish momentum. The cryptocurrency has broken below its ascending trendline, trading at $0.81 as of late September, down 6.1% from its $0.84 support level. Santiment’s Age Consumed index highlights increased activity from dormant wallets, a historical precursor to price declines, while CryptoQuant’s Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) remains negative since mid-August, signaling sustained selling dominanceCardano Price Forecast ADA Declines as Dormant Wallet Activity Stirs Selling Pressure[1]. Technical indicators corroborate the downtrend, with the RSI at 40 and a bearish MACD crossover, pointing to further weakness. Analysts project a potential test of the $0.76 support level, representing a 50% retracement from June’s $0.51 low to August’s $1.02 highCardano (ADA) Price: Dormant Wallet Activity Creates Fresh Selling Pressure[2].

Despite the bearish technical outlook, some analysts highlight potential for a rebound if buyers defend $0.84. Mr. Banana, a cryptocurrency analyst, previously identified $0.95 as a key resistance target, though ADA’s current trajectory suggests a focus on near-term stability above $0.81 to avoid deeper correctionsCardano Price Can Break $1 as Analysts See Whale Selling Pressure[3]. Whale activity has also introduced volatility, with large holders selling 530 million

in 48 hours, creating short-term supply pressuresCardano (ADA) Price Prediction For September 23[4]. However, long-position holders remain resilient, with TapTools data showing significant gains for traders holding ADA contracts, suggesting lingering bullish sentiment amid the sell-offCardano (ADA) Price Alert: Dormant Wallet Activity Sparks Fresh…[5].

In contrast,

.fun (PUMP) has rebounded after a sharp pullback, with its price stabilizing around $0.007. The token’s $1B daily trading volume in September underscores renewed speculative interest, driven by fervor and aggressive buybacks. While PUMP’s all-time high of $0.0088 remains a psychological ceiling, its liquidity and market cap of $2.5 billion reflect strong short-term demand$1B Pump.fun Frenzy Raises the Question: Which Presale Has the…[6]. Analysts caution that PUMP’s volatility hinges on continued buyback activity and broader market sentiment, with key support zones around $0.0069–$0.0076PUMP Stalls at $0.007, MYX Cools at $12, and…[7].

BlockDAG’s Awakening Testnet has sparked a buying frenzy, with the project raising over $405 million in its presale and attracting 312,000 global holders. The testnet, set to launch on September 25, is designed to stress-test the network’s UTXO system and validate real-world functionality before mainnet deployment. This approach differentiates BlockDAG from projects relying on speculative hype, as it prioritizes operational proof before public launchDOGE Price Analysis Hits $0.25 Wall, ETH Faces Fees, BlockDAG’s…[8]. The presale’s current price of $0.0013, with a projected $1 target, offers a potential 76,815% ROI, further fueling investor interestBlockDAG Raises Nearly $410M, Leaving Binance Coin and Pump…[9]. Whale activity in the $3M–$4M range has added credibility to the project’s momentum, positioning it as a top contender for 2025BlockDAG’s Testnet Launch Followed By 50% Bonus Code…[10].

Market dynamics highlight divergent trajectories for ADA and BlockDAG. While Cardano’s technical indicators and whale selling pressures suggest a near-term correction, BlockDAG’s presale success and testnet readiness reflect a more structured approach to growth. Pump.fun’s resurgence underscores the cyclical nature of memecoin trading, where liquidity and buybacks temporarily offset bearish trends. For

, the critical juncture lies in defending key support levels and managing whale-driven volatility, whereas BlockDAG’s focus on operational validation could cement its long-term viability in a competitive marketCardano (ADA) Price Prediction For September 23[11].