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Here’s the thing: DIA’s options market is sending mixed signals. While puts dominate open interest, the technicals and call options at $504 suggest a potential upside breakout. Let’s break it down.
OTM Options Show Bearish Skew, But Bulls Have a PlanPut open interest is crushing calls right now—358K puts vs 171K calls. The top OTM puts for Friday (Jan 16) are clustered at $490 ($OI: 483) and $482.5 ($OI: 394), while calls peak at $504 ($OI: 1,269). This means a lot of traders are hedging for a drop or betting on a sharp decline. But here’s the twist: the $504 call has 3,740 OI for this Friday, and the RSI at 70 (overbought) suggests a test of the upper Bollinger Band ($496.43) is likely. If bulls push past $504, the short-term bearish sentiment could flip.
The lack of block trades today is neutral—no whales are moving the needle. But the heavy put OI at $490 ($OI: 483) for next Friday (Jan 23) implies some traders are bracing for a pullback. If
holds above its 30D support ($483.25), the puts might expire worthless.No News, But Options Tell a StoryThere’s no recent company news to drive sentiment, which means the options activity is the main narrative. Without earnings or product announcements, traders are reacting to technicals and broader sector trends. The long-term bullish Kline pattern and 200D MA at $447.74 (far below current price) suggest the stock is in a multi-month uptrend. But without positive news, the rally could stall if the $490–$492 range breaks.
Trade Ideas: Calls for Short-Term Gains, Puts for HedgingFor options:
For stock:
The next 48 hours will test DIA’s resolve. A close above $500 would validate the call-heavy bets at $504, while a drop below $490 could trigger a wave of put buyers. Either way, the 2.09 put/call ratio means the market is pricing in downside risk—but technicals suggest the bulls still have momentum. If you’re trading options, focus on the Jan 16 expiry first; for longer-term plays, the Jan 23 $495 call (
) offers a cheaper entry if the stock consolidates.Bottom line: DIA is at a crossroads. The options market is split, but the technicals lean bullish. Your move? Pick a side—or hedge with a collar strategy using the $490 put and $504 call. Either way, don’t ignore the expiry dates. Time is running out.

Focus on daily option trades

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