Democrats will target Latinos’ 'cratering’ GOP support: Chair

Democrats will target Latinos’ 'cratering’ GOP support: Chair

Democrats Position to Capitalize on Declining GOP Support Among Hispanic Voters

Recent political shifts indicate a significant realignment in Hispanic voter allegiance, with Democrats poised to leverage this trend in upcoming elections. Republican strategists have expressed alarm over the erosion of GOP support among Hispanic communities, particularly in key states like Texas, where a special election in February 2026 saw a 14-point Democratic victory in a district previously won by President Donald Trump by 17 points in 2024. This swing reflects broader dissatisfaction with Trump's immigration enforcement policies and economic conditions, which have strained trust among Hispanic voters.

According to polling, 70% of Hispanic respondents disapprove of Trump's handling of immigration, and 61% believe his economic policies have worsened their conditions. A survey by the U.S. Hispanic Business Council found that 42% of Hispanic business owners report deteriorating economic circumstances, with 70% ranking the cost of living as a top national issue. These concerns are amplified by aggressive immigration raids and tariffs, which have disrupted immigrant-heavy industries and small businesses.

Democrats are capitalizing on this discontent by emphasizing economic pragmatism and local issues. Taylor Rehmet, a Democrat who flipped a state Senate seat in Texas, resonated with voters through his working-class background and focus on public school funding. Party leaders and donors view such victories as part of a broader strategy to mobilize Hispanic voters in competitive states like Texas, Mississippi, and Alabama.

Republican officials acknowledge the challenge, with Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick calling the special election results a "wake-up call". GOP consultants warn that without a shift in messaging—particularly on immigration and economic policies, the party risks further losses in a demographic that now constitutes 40% of Texas' population.

For investors, these political dynamics may influence policy priorities and electoral outcomes, particularly in states with growing Hispanic populations. As both parties recalibrate their strategies, the ability to address economic anxieties and immigration reform could shape not only electoral success but also broader economic stability in key regions.

(https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/03/republicans-hispanic-voters-texas-special-00763560): Politico, February 2026
(https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/14/latino-voters-powered-trumps-comeback-now-theyre-turning-on-his-economy-00726548): Politico, January 2026
(https://www.npr.org/2025/11/25/nx-s1-5619812/new-poll-shows-latino-support-for-trump-is-slipping): NPR, November 2025