Democratic Party favored to win 2028 U.S. presidential election, according to Polymarket odds.

Democratic Party favored to win 2028 U.S. presidential election, according to Polymarket odds.

The 2028 U.S. presidential election is still several years away, but the political landscape is already shaping up. According to recent data from Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, the Democratic Party is currently favored to win the election. This prediction aligns with the platform's historical accuracy in forecasting political outcomes.

Polymarket, which gained attention during the 2024 U.S. presidential election for its accurate predictions, has been under investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). However, the investigations concluded without charges being filed [1]. This resolution may pave the way for Polymarket to re-enter the U.S. market legally, potentially through CFTC registration or partnerships.

The Democratic Party's favored status in the 2028 election is likely due to several factors. The party has a strong history of winning presidential elections and has been successful in recent midterm elections. Additionally, the Democratic Party has a broad base of support among various demographic groups, including women, young voters, and urban dwellers.

However, the Democratic Party faces challenges as well. The party's progressive wing has been criticized for being too far-left, and there is a growing sentiment among some Democrats that the party needs to move more to the center to appeal to a broader range of voters. The party's handling of cultural issues, such as immigration and identity politics, has also been a point of contention.

The 2028 Democratic primary race is expected to be crowded and wide-open, with as many as 20 potential candidates vying for the nomination. The party's most eligible candidates have been scheming, climbing, and dealing for their shot at the ticket for years [2]. The potential candidates fall within two broad camps: Democratic centrists, who believe that the party's woes are due to progressives being out of touch with the electorate, and progressives, who argue that the party needs to move further left to appeal to their base.

The outcome of the 2028 Democratic primary race will have a significant impact on the party's chances of winning the presidential election. The candidate who emerges as the nominee will need to appeal to a broad range of voters and address the party's internal divisions.

In conclusion, while the Democratic Party is currently favored to win the 2028 U.S. presidential election according to Polymarket odds, the party faces challenges and internal divisions that could impact its chances. The outcome of the 2028 Democratic primary race will be a key factor in determining the party's prospects for victory.

References:
[1] https://www.tekedia.com/implications-of-doj-and-cftc-closing-of-polymarket-investigation-with-no-charges/
[2] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/jul/18/democrat-presidential-race-2028