Deere Stock: Two Analysts, Two Directions

As an experienced investor, I've seen firsthand how macroeconomic conditions and industry trends can shape analysts' outlooks for stocks. Today, I want to discuss Deere & Company (DE) stock, which has analysts divided on its future direction. Let's dive into the data and explore why two analysts see opposite directions for this agricultural equipment giant.



Deere & Company, a leading manufacturer of agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment, has seen its stock price fluctuate in recent months. As of 2025, the stock has a market cap of $130.49 billion and an enterprise value of $190.77 billion. The company's quarterly earnings and events, as well as its annual reports, provide valuable insights into its financial performance.

One analyst, let's call them Analyst A, is bullish on Deere stock, citing several reasons for their optimism. First, Deere's strong fourth-quarter and full-year results in 2023 demonstrate the company's ability to execute its strategies and deliver value to customers. Net income for the fourth quarter was $2.369 billion, up from $2.246 billion in the same period the previous year. Full-year net income attributable to Deere & Company was $10.166 billion, up from $7.131 billion in 2022 (Deere & Company, 2023).

Analyst A also points to the company's solid market conditions, differentiated products, and strong execution as key factors driving growth. Additionally, the analyst expects volumes to return to mid-cycle levels in 2024, which should further boost earnings. The full-year 2024 earnings forecast is $7.75 to $8.25 billion, reflecting this optimism.



On the other hand, another analyst, let's call them Analyst B, has a more cautious outlook on Deere stock. While they acknowledge the company's strong performance in 2023, they express concerns about potential headwinds in the broader market and industry trends. For instance, Analyst B may be worried about the impact of adverse macroeconomic conditions, such as unemployment, inflation, and rising interest rates, on customer confidence and demand for John Deere products.

Analyst B might also be concerned about the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine and the war between Israel and Hamas, as these geopolitical risks could disrupt supply chains and impact the company's operations. Furthermore, the analyst could be cautious about the growth and sustainability of non-food uses for crops, such as ethanol and biodiesel production, which could affect demand for Deere's equipment.



As an investor, it's essential to consider both analysts' perspectives when evaluating Deere stock. While Analyst A focuses on the company's strong performance and growth prospects, Analyst B highlights potential risks and headwinds that could impact the stock's performance.

To make an informed decision, consider the following steps:

1. Analyze the company's financial performance, focusing on key metrics such as net income, revenue, and earnings per share (EPS).
2. Evaluate the company's strategies and execution, as well as its ability to adapt to changing market conditions and industry trends.
3. Assess the broader macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical risks that could impact the company's operations and performance.
4. Consider the analysts' views and price targets, but remember that their opinions are just one piece of the puzzle.
5. Make a decision based on your own research and analysis, taking into account both the company's fundamentals and the broader market trends.

In conclusion, Deere stock has analysts divided on its future direction, with one analyst bullish on the company's growth prospects and another more cautious about potential headwinds. By considering both analysts' perspectives and conducting your own research, you can make a well-informed decision about whether to invest in Deere stock. Keep in mind that the broader market trends and macroeconomic conditions play a crucial role in shaping the analysts' outlooks, and always stay up-to-date with the latest news and data to make the best possible investment decisions.