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On October 13, 2025,
(DE) closed with a 1.62% decline, trading at a volume of $780 million, ranking 141st in market activity. The move followed mixed signals from agricultural sector fundamentals and evolving investor sentiment toward cyclical plays.Recent market dynamics highlighted by equity analysts suggest that Deere’s performance remains sensitive to macroeconomic indicators. While the company has historically benefited from strong farm equipment demand, recent data points indicate a potential slowdown in rural purchasing power. This aligns with broader market concerns over tightening credit conditions and elevated interest rates, which have dampened long-term capital expenditure plans among key customer segments.
Technical analysis reveals a critical test of key support levels as the stock approaches a strategic inflection point. Traders are closely monitoring liquidity patterns and order flow dynamics, with short-term positioning showing increased bearish bias. The one-day holding rule in active trading strategies has limited drawdown exposure, maintaining a risk-reward profile that remains attractive for momentum-focused portfolios.
The completed back-test demonstrates a total return of 29.66% over the test window with an annualized return of 8.0%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.53 reflects moderate risk-adjusted performance, while drawdowns remained capped at 12.9% due to the one-day holding constraint. Interactive modules provide granular trade-level details and equity-curve visualizations for further analysis.

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