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Summary
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Healthcare Sector Splits as UnitedHealth Outpaces CVS
The broader healthcare sector remains fragmented, with UnitedHealth Group (UNH) surging 3.25% compared to CVS’s 2.64% gain. UNH’s outperformance reflects its stronger position in Medicare Advantage and pharmacy benefits management, areas where
Options and Technicals: Navigating the Bullish Breakout
• 200-day MA: 68.84 (below current price); 30-day MA: 79.59 (near term resistance)
• RSI: 40.54 (neutral); MACD: -0.33 (bearish divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at 78.05 (near upper band at 82.56)
• Key support/resistance: 78.42–78.56 (30D support), 63.30–63.88 (200D support)
CVS’s technicals suggest a short-term bullish breakout but long-term caution. The stock is trading near its 30-day MA and upper Bollinger Band, with RSI in neutral territory. However, the MACD remains negative, indicating potential for a pullback. Traders should monitor the 78.42–78.56 support zone and watch for a break above 79.59 to confirm a reversal. The options market reflects this duality: high liquidity in the 78-strike options and elevated implied volatility (IV) in the 75–79 range suggest positioning for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
• (Call, $78 strike, Nov 28):
- IV: 21.95% (moderate)
- LVR: 70.43% (high leverage)
- Delta: 0.536 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0928 (high time decay)
- Gamma: 0.1562 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 342,669 (high liquidity)
This call option offers aggressive leverage for a 5% upside scenario (targeting $82.00). With high gamma and moderate delta, it benefits from price swings. A 5% move would yield a payoff of $4.00 per contract, translating to a 57% return on the premium paid.
• (Put, $78 strike, Nov 28):
- IV: 23.06% (moderate)
- LVR: 80.60% (high leverage)
- Delta: -0.464 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0305 (moderate time decay)
- Gamma: 0.1488 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 408,460 (high liquidity)
This put option provides downside protection with high leverage. A 5% pullback to $74.15 would yield a $3.90 payoff, a 84% return on the premium. Its high gamma and moderate delta make it ideal for volatile consolidation.
Aggressive bulls may consider CVS20251128C78 into a break above $79.59.
Backtest CVS Health Stock Performance
Key findings on CVS Health (CVS.N) after any session that finished ≥ +3 % from the prior close (01-Jan-2022 to 21-Nov-2025):• Event frequency: 35 qualifying surges (≈ 1 % of all sessions). • Average next-day drift: +0.21 %; win-rate 60 % – essentially noise. • Medium-term follow-through: cumulative mean return trends higher, reaching ≈ +2.6 % by 30 trading days, with a 65.7 % win-rate. However, t-statistics stay below conventional significance thresholds, indicating the edge is weak. • Risk/reward: dispersion of post-event paths is wide; several events reverse quickly, so stop-loss discipline is advised if traded tactically. • Practical take-away: a 3 % up-day does not, by itself, provide a statistically robust long signal for CVS. Additional filters (e.g., volume surge, macro context, or technical trend) may be required to improve edge quality.(We used a 30-day event window as the default horizon for evaluating post-event behavior—common in academic event studies when the user hasn’t specified a custom window.)The full interactive report is embedded below.Please explore the chart and statistics for deeper insights, and let me know if you’d like to refine the trigger definition (e.g., include volume filters) or test alternative holding rules.
Act Now: Position for a Volatile Finish to the Week
CVS’s 2.64% rally is a high-stakes game of tug-of-war between earnings optimism and strategic overhauls. The stock’s technicals and options activity suggest a pivotal week ahead, with key levels at 78.42 and 79.59 acting as critical decision points. While the 30-day MA offers near-term resistance, the 200-day MA remains a long-term anchor. UnitedHealth Group’s 3.25% surge highlights the sector’s diverging trajectories, with investors likely to favor companies with clearer value propositions. For now, traders should prioritize liquidity-rich options like CVS20251128C78 and CVS20251128P78 to capitalize on the stock’s volatility. Watch for a break above $79.59 or a breakdown below $78.42 to confirm the next move.

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