CVR Energy Share Price Surges 45% in a Month: Is the Stock Overvalued?

CVR Energy (CVI) shares have surged 45% in the past month and 38% in the past 3 months. The stock is now trading at $34.94, with an analyst price target of $26.50, and an intrinsic discount of 48%. The most followed storyline suggests the price is well above modeled worth, built on assumptions about future earnings, margins, and cash flows. However, the Simply Wall St DCF model estimates a value of $66.99, raising the question of which lens to trust more.