U.S. Customs Revenues Surge 73% to $64 Billion on Trump Tariffs

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Wednesday, Jul 16, 2025 9:39 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- U.S. customs revenues surged to $64B in Q2 2025, driven by Trump-era tariffs including 10% global and 25% auto levies.

- Mexico avoided retaliation, while EU delayed countermeasures amid U.S. trade talks and Ukraine support.

- Economists warn full trade wars with 24% tariffs could cut global GDP by 1.3% over two years.

- Trump's aggressive tariff threats, like 50% on Brazil, face little coordinated backlash, giving him tactical leverage.

America has collected $50 billion from tariff payments, marking a significant increase in customs revenues. According to U.S. Treasury data, the country recorded $64 billion in customs revenues in the second quarter of 2025, a $47 billion increase from the same period last year. This surge is largely attributed to the tariff increases introduced by the Trump administration, including a 10% global tariff, 50% levies on steel and aluminum, and 25% on auto imports.

Despite these tariff increments, only China and Canada have responded with retaliatory measures. China matched Trump’s tariffs earlier in the year, but Chinese revenues from customs only saw a modest 1.9% yearly increase in May. Canada, which announced $155 billion in counter tariffs earlier this year, has since backed down under U.S. pressure.

Mexico, America’s largest trading partner, has avoided retaliation altogether, even after being hit with 25% tariffs in March. President Claudia Sheinbaum opted for negotiations over confrontation, reiterating that the country preferred a deal. The European Union, on the other hand, has drawn up a list of countermeasures affecting up to €72 billion worth of American goods but continues to delay implementation. Officials say the bloc’s retaliation is being strategically timed with Trump’s August 1 deadline for trade talks. The EU’s reluctance to escalate trade tensions is also due to the ongoing support from the U.S. for Ukraine and NATO security guarantees.

High-level U.S. officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, have been working to discourage Brussels from taking hasty actions. Supply chain analysts and economists have implied that the U.S. being at the center of the modern global economy makes retaliation a costly gamble. A professor of economics at the City University of New York, Marta Bengoa, pointed out that the world isn’t chickening out due to fear. “It’s simply economic logic,” she said. “Today’s trade patterns heavily rely on the U.S. consumer market. Retaliation, no matter how politically satisfying, could hurt those countries more than it hurts Washington.”

Capital Economics estimated that a full-blown trade war where global average tariffs rise to 24% will easily shave 1.3% off global GDP over two years. However, if tariffs remain around 10%, the economic damage will be just 0.3%. Realistically, this has created the opportunity for Trump to push forward without facing the kind of global backlash that once came with trade conflicts. Economists have also noted that Trump’s willingness to escalate further gives him a tactical advantage.

Alexander Klein, an economic history professor at the University of Sussex, said Trump doesn’t exactly care about inflation and global supply risks because that allows him to call the shots, while others keep trying to contain the fallout. Trump threatened last week to impose a 50% tariff on Brazil with little warning and barely any political justifications, but it attracted no coordinated pushback.

Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney campaigned on a tougher trade position with the U.S. but has since taken on a more cautious approach. He backed off a planned digital services tax after U.S. objections and chose not to mirror Trump’s latest hike in steel tariffs to 50%. A former adviser said Carney’s “elbows up” rhetoric might have worked during the election, but Canada couldn’t afford to be confrontational with the United States.

Companies like

are trying to absorb tariff costs through global pricing strategies. Simon Geale of Proxima, said companies will try to protect the U.S. market from the full brunt of tariffs by spreading the cost.

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