Curve DAO (CRV) Price Action Analysis: Breakout Confirmation and Near-Term Targets in 2025

Curve DAO (CRV), the governance token of the decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Curve Finance, has emerged as a focal point for traders and investors in late 2025. Recent price action and technical momentum suggest a potential breakout from prolonged consolidation, with both bullish and bearish scenarios in play. This analysis examines CRV's positioning within key chart patterns, momentum indicators, and on-chain metrics to assess near-term price targets and risks.

Technical Patterns and Breakout Scenarios

CRV's weekly chart reveals a symmetrical triangle pattern, a classic continuation formation that often precedes a directional breakout, according to a CCN analysis. The pattern's upper boundary is currently testing resistance at $1.20, while the lower boundary has held support near $0.81, as the CCN analysis notes. A confirmed breakout above $1.20 would signal a bullish reversal, potentially propelling the token toward $1.50–$1.80, depending on volume and follow-through buying. Conversely, a breakdown below the triangle's lower trendline could retest the $0.81–$0.85 range, where prior resistance may act as support, also highlighted in the CCN analysis.

On the daily chart, CRV has formed a descending wedge-a bullish pattern characterized by converging lower highs and higher lows. The wedge's upper boundary has acted as dynamic resistance, with the token currently trading near the $1.00 psychological level, a price it has not breached in months, per a CoinEdition report. A breakout above this level, confirmed by a close above $1.05, could trigger a rally toward $1.20–$1.30, aligning with Fibonacci extension targets noted in the CoinEdition report.

Momentum Indicators and On-Chain Metrics

Momentum indicators reinforce the bullish case. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has recently crossed into positive territory, forming a bullish crossover that suggests accelerating upward momentum, a pattern also observed in the CoinEdition report. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending upward, approaching overbought levels (70+), which historically precede short-term corrections but also indicate strong buying pressure, as CoinEdition points out.

On-chain data further supports a bullish narrative. CRV's stock-to-flow ratio-a metric measuring scarcity-has reached an all-time high, suggesting growing perceived value, according to an OKX analysis. Positive exchange netflows, which track the difference between inflows and outflows of assets on exchanges, indicate accumulation by long-term holders, a trend the OKX analysis also highlights. These metrics imply that CRV is being hoarded rather than sold, a sign of confidence in its future utility.

Bearish Risks and Counterarguments

Despite the bullish signals, several risks warrant caution. A Bearish Bat harmonic pattern is forming, with potential price targets at $1.22–$1.33 if the CD leg completes, a scenario the OKX analysis discusses. This scenario hinges on a failure to sustain momentum above $1.00, triggering a retracement. Additionally, a breakdown below $0.94–$0.96 could initiate a pullback toward $0.88, where previous support may hold, according to a BitMala article.

Broader market conditions also play a role. While derivatives markets show positive funding rates and rising open interest in long positions, the OKX analysis warns that a broader crypto market correction could pressure CRV regardless of its fundamentals.

Near-Term Price Targets and Investment Implications

If CRV successfully breaks above $1.00, the immediate target is $1.05–$1.10, followed by $1.20–$1.30 as the next major resistance cluster, a trajectory outlined in the CoinEdition report. A failure to hold above $0.94–$0.96, however, could see the price retest $0.88–$0.85, as noted in the BitMala article. Traders should monitor volume during these moves: a surge in buying pressure above $1.00 would validate the bullish case, while a breakdown below $0.94 with declining volume might signal a deeper correction.

For investors, CRV's technical setup presents a high-reward, high-risk trade. The token's positioning within bullish patterns and strong on-chain metrics suggest a potential breakout, but the presence of bearish harmonic patterns and key support levels necessitates strict risk management.

Conclusion

Curve DAO (CRV) stands at a critical juncture in late 2025, with technical indicators and on-chain data pointing to a potential breakout from multi-month consolidation. While the $1.00–$1.20 range represents a pivotal battleground, both bullish and bearish scenarios remain viable. Investors should closely monitor price action around these levels, using volume and momentum indicators to gauge the strength of any move. As with all crypto assets, diversification and position sizing are essential to navigate the inherent volatility.