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consolidates between $0.7665 and $0.8307, with no decisive breakouts.
• Price action on 24 hours shows a bearish bias, forming a potential head-and-shoulders pattern.
• MACD and RSI signal weakening momentum, with RSI below 30 suggesting oversold conditions.
• Volume remains subdued, with minimal turnover spikes and no divergence detected.
• Fibonacci levels indicate potential bounce or breakdown near $0.7665 and $0.7809.
Market Overview
Curve (CRVUSD) opened at $0.8458 on 2025-08-25 12:00 ET, hit a high of $0.8458, a low of $0.7665, and closed at $0.7815 on 2025-08-26 12:00 ET. Total volume was 2,402.9, with $1,893.1 in notional turnover over the 24-hour period.
Structure & Formations
The price action over the last 24 hours formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, with a potential neckline at $0.7809. The breakdown from a prior consolidation range near $0.8307 into $0.7665 has created a clear short-term bearish bias. Notable candle formations include a bearish engulfing pattern at $0.8307 and a hanging man pattern near $0.7763, suggesting indecision and possible bearish continuation.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are in a downward convergence, with price trading below both. The daily chart shows a bearish alignment with the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages all sloping downward, reinforcing the longer-term bearish trend.
MACD & RSI
The MACD on the 15-minute chart is in negative territory with a bearish crossover, suggesting fading bullish momentum. The RSI is currently below 30, indicating oversold conditions. While this could imply a potential bounce, there is a lack of follow-through buying volume to confirm a reversal. Momentum appears to be waning, with price and indicators moving in alignment.
Bollinger Bands
Price has been trading near the lower
Band for much of the last 24 hours, indicating low volatility and a consolidation phase. A contraction in the width of the bands earlier in the session suggested a possible breakout, but price remains in a tight range with no significant expansion yet.
Volume & Turnover
Trading volume shows a relatively low profile with only a few spikes, particularly during the $0.7763–$0.7815 range. The largest single 15-minute volume spike occurred at $0.7815 with 321.6 volume, but it did not result in a meaningful price breakout. The notional turnover is also relatively muted, with no evidence of a divergence between price and volume.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent swing from $0.8307 to $0.7665, the 61.8% level sits at $0.7809, and the 38.2% level is near $0.7980. Price appears to be consolidating near the 61.8% level, suggesting a potential bounce or a breakdown. A retest of $0.7809 could confirm the former, while a move below $0.7665 would validate a deeper decline.
In the next 24 hours, CRVUSD may test the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $0.7809 for support, with a potential bearish breakdown into the $0.7665–$0.7500 zone possible. However, the market may find a near-term floor in the oversold RSI zone. Investors should remain cautious and watch for a confirmation of trend continuation or a reversal.
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