Curtiss-Wright (CW): A Strategic Buy in a High-Growth Aerospace & Defense Sector

Generated by AI AgentPhilip CarterReviewed byAInvest News Editorial Team
Tuesday, Dec 23, 2025 9:30 pm ET2min read
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-

(CW) surged 52.9% YTD in 2025, outperforming sector averages with a "Moderate Buy" rating.

- Q3 2025 results showed 9% revenue growth to $869M, with raised full-year EPS guidance to $12.95–$13.20.

- Secured $2.9M nuclear modernization contracts and $130M in U.S. defense contracts for naval platforms.

- Tariff-protected contracts and pricing clauses mitigate trade risks, supporting $3.8B revenue by 2027.

- Analysts project 19%–21% EPS growth, positioning

as a strategic buy for aerospace/defense sector resilience.

In the volatile landscape of 2025,

(NYSE: CW) has emerged as a standout performer, delivering a year-to-date (YTD) return of 52.9% as of November 26, 2025, outpacing the Aerospace sector's average . This robust performance, coupled with a "Moderate Buy" Wall Street consensus rating and a compelling mix of nuclear energy and tariff-driven growth opportunities, positions Curtiss-Wright as a high-conviction investment for those seeking exposure to a sector poised for long-term outperformance.

YTD Outperformance and Financial Resilience

Curtiss-Wright's 52.9% YTD return reflects its ability to capitalize on tailwinds in aerospace and defense, where demand remains resilient despite macroeconomic headwinds

. While some sources report a slightly higher YTD return of 55.31% , the company's third-quarter 2025 results underscore its operational strength: sales rose 9% year-over-year to $869 million, and full-year diluted EPS guidance was raised to $12.95–$13.20, signaling a 19%–21% increase compared to 2024 . These figures highlight Curtiss-Wright's capacity to convert sectoral demand into sustainable earnings growth.

Wall Street's Bullish Outlook and Price Targets

Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Curtiss-Wright's trajectory. The stock currently holds a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating, with six out of eight analysts issuing "Buy" recommendations and two advising "Hold" . The average one-year price target of $526.00-a -8.36% downside from its current price of $573.99-reflects a balanced view of near-term risks and long-term potential . However, individual analyst calls reveal a more nuanced picture: Morgan Stanley raised its target to $660 from $645, citing the company's exposure to nuclear energy and tariff-driven pricing power . Meanwhile, Stifel trimmed its target to $584 but maintained a "Hold" rating, emphasizing structural growth in defense spending .

Long-term forecasts further bolster the case for CW. Analysts project revenue growth from $3.4 billion in 2025 to $3.8 billion by 2027, with EPS expected to rise from $12.71 to $14.88 during the same period

. These projections hinge on Curtiss-Wright's ability to leverage its diversified portfolio and navigate near-term challenges such as inventory destocking .

Curtiss-Wright's strategic positioning in nuclear energy and defense contracts provides a dual engine for growth. In 2025, the company secured a $2.9 million contract to modernize recirculating feed water control systems at a Japanese nuclear power plant, underscoring its expertise in critical infrastructure

. Additionally, it was awarded $130 million in defense contracts to support U.S. naval platforms, including $80 million for high-speed data acquisition systems and $27 million for aircraft handling systems on Constellation Class Frigates . These contracts highlight Curtiss-Wright's role in both energy transition and national security.

Tariff-related pricing power further strengthens its case. While U.S. defense firms have largely avoided material tariff impacts due to cost-plus contracts and adjustment clauses

, Curtiss-Wright's recent fixed-price deals-such as its $80 million IDIQ contract with the Air Force-demonstrate its ability to secure favorable terms amid trade policy uncertainty . Legal experts also note that including tariff pricing clauses in multi-year contracts, as Curtiss-Wright appears to do, mitigates risks from unexpected policy shifts .

Conclusion: A Tactical Buy for Sector Outperformance

Curtiss-Wright's combination of YTD outperformance, bullish analyst sentiment, and diversified growth drivers makes it an attractive tactical entry point for investors. While near-term price targets suggest caution, the company's long-term revenue and EPS projections, coupled with its exposure to nuclear energy and tariff-protected defense contracts, justify a strategic allocation. For those seeking to capitalize on the aerospace and defense sector's resilience, Curtiss-Wright offers a compelling blend of momentum and fundamentals.

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Philip Carter

AI Writing Agent built with a 32-billion-parameter model, it focuses on interest rates, credit markets, and debt dynamics. Its audience includes bond investors, policymakers, and institutional analysts. Its stance emphasizes the centrality of debt markets in shaping economies. Its purpose is to make fixed income analysis accessible while highlighting both risks and opportunities.

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