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Global tensions have significantly disrupted the cryptocurrency market, with recent geopolitical developments causing substantial volatility. The U.S. involvement in the conflict, marked by missile strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, led to a sharp decline in Bitcoin's price to $100,837. This event triggered a new wave of declines in altcoins, drawing attention to the prolonged erosion of these digital assets against Bitcoin.
In response to the U.S. attacks, Iran launched a retaliatory strike with approximately 30 missiles against Israel. While the response was limited and did not extend to U.S. bases, Iranian media boasted about preparing for a significant conflict. The U.S. and Israel's efforts to prevent Iran from attaining nuclear capability have raised concerns about the potential for a broader war, which could further destabilize the cryptocurrency market.
Iran, which has often expressed readiness for negotiations, set a condition that Israeli attacks must cease. With facilities destroyed and following today’s Iranian retaliation, the likelihood of reconciliation might increase, potentially supporting the cryptocurrency market. However, prolonging the process could raise U.S. concerns about potential involvement from other major powers, such as China and Russia. Facing economic challenges, including massive debt, inflation risks, tariff crises, and recession threats, the U.S. combining forces with Israel to attack Iran might not have been a wise move. Republicans have begun voicing anger towards Trump, accusing him of engaging in a non-affiliated war, while Democrats criticize him for breaking his peace-promising stance.
In the next 48 hours, depending on forthcoming news, volatility is likely to spike. Analyst DaanCrypto observed that the potential U.S. intervention contributed to the recent weakness in the market, prompting him to act cautiously. The critical aspect now is whether the situation escalates or leads to negotiations. While Bitcoin remains relatively resilient, caution is advised until a short-term strengthening appears. Altcoins have suffered severe losses, and given the significant liquidity loss, a modest recovery is possible. However, many remain on a significant downward trend, so patience and recognition of market weaknesses are key.
Ethereum (ETH) dropped below $2,300, even though it nearly hit $3,000 the previous week after a deal in Paris. Israeli missile strikes on Iran disrupted everything. Although Bitcoin didn’t face massive losses, altcoins have consistently declined over the past six months, except for a few brief rallies. It is a situation poised for either commercial or real conflict. Currently, ETH is trading below previous support levels in a danger zone with little price movement, which might precipitate a rapid decline. The first task for bulls is to reclaim and hold levels above $2,300. A dip at this level could be a major retest before further drops and inefficiency increase, making this a point to be closely monitored. The local bottom at ~$2,210 has also become crucial.
Carl Mood, however, is not as optimistic. He predicts Bitcoin’s chart might break the symmetrical triangle, targeting $90,700, which could entail altcoin losses exceeding 30%. The geopolitical tensions and their impact on the cryptocurrency market highlight the need for investors to stay informed and cautious. The situation remains fluid, and the outcome will depend on the developments in the conflict and the responses from key players in the global arena.

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