Crypto Cycle to Mirror 2017 Trends Until 2026 Says Real Vision CEO

Raoul Pal, CEO of Real Vision, has forecasted an extended crypto cycle that mirrors trends from 2017, projecting that this cycle will continue until June 2026. This prediction is based on current macroeconomic conditions, which Pal believes will drive a prolonged period of growth in the crypto market.

Pal's analysis draws parallels between the current market environment and the 2017 crypto boom. He notes that the business cycle score remains below 50, a metric that suggests an extended duration similar to the 2017 surge. This prolonged cycle is expected to be influenced by macroeconomic trends, including a weakening USD and declining interest rates, which are making crypto assets more attractive to investors.

The immediate market effects of Pal's prediction include increased institutional interest and shifts in asset values. Prominent cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, along with altcoins like Solana, are notably affected. Pal's insights also indicate potential regulatory and market structure improvements, which could further extend the crypto cycle, reminiscent of trends from 2017.

Pal's analysis suggests that the anticipated timeline for this crypto cycle peak is based on historical trend comparisons and macroeconomic influences. As the cycle unfolds, both developers and investors maintain cautious optimism, recognizing the potential for extended growth but also the inherent risks involved in crypto investments.

Pal's statement, "It’s spookily similar to 2017 ... the business cycle score ... is still below 50 and it generally takes a while to climb up," underscores the significance of macro indicators such as a weakening dollar and anticipated lower interest rates. These factors serve as parallels to past events, predicting an extended bullish market phase.