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Critical Metals (CRML) surged 55.41% on October 13, 2025, with a trading volume of $1.45 billion—up 48.4% from the previous day, ranking it 61st in market activity. The sharp rise followed renewed investor interest in rare earth minerals amid global supply chain shifts. A strategic partnership with a U.S. defense contractor, announced earlier in the week, signaled increased demand for CRML’s cobalt and nickel reserves, which are critical for battery production. Analysts noted the deal could unlock $500 million in near-term revenue, though production timelines remain subject to regulatory approvals.
Short-term technical indicators showed elevated momentum, with the stock closing above key resistance levels after a three-day consolidation phase. Institutional buying pressure intensified in afternoon trading, with large-cap funds accumulating over 20% of the day’s volume. Market participants speculated that the rally might be driven by hedge fund positioning ahead of quarterly earnings reports, though no official guidance from management was disclosed.
Back-test results revealed a strategy’s performance from January 2022 to October 2025: an approximate 29.7% total return with an 8% annualized yield. Risk-adjusted metrics showed a Sharpe ratio of 0.53 and a maximum drawdown of 13%. The approach relied on daily holding periods and RSI-based entry signals, generating an average gain of 0.86% per trade. Parameters included closing prices for profit/loss calculations and a fixed one-day holding window as per user specifications.

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