Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.: Navigating Challenges and Opportunities in the Agricultural Sector

Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (NASDAQ: CRESY, BYMA: CRES), a leading Argentine agricultural company, recently announced its financial results for the second quarter of Fiscal Year 2025, ended December 31, 2024. The company reported a net loss of ARS 64,391 million, primarily due to changes in the fair value of IRSA investment properties. Despite this setback, Cresud's adjusted EBITDA reached ARS 134,961 million, a 15.3% decrease from the same period in 2024. The agricultural segment's adjusted EBITDA stood at ARS 35,262 million, while the urban properties segment (through IRSA) contributed ARS 103,136 million.



Cresud's agricultural operations demonstrated resilience, with a 9% increase in planted area to 303,000 hectares, despite historically low commodity prices. The Argentine government's announcement of temporary crop export tax reductions until June 30, 2025, had a positive impact on spot and future crop prices, approximately 5%. The company also executed strategic asset monetization, selling a fraction of Los Pozos farm for USD 2.2 million and BrasilAgro's Alto Taquari farm for BRL 189.4 million. Cresud distributed a cash dividend of ARS 45,000 million (yield ~7%) in November 2024, reflecting the company's confidence in its liquidity position.

Cresud's strategic focus on agricultural production and real estate development has been instrumental in its long-term growth and stability. The company's diversified business model allows it to mitigate risks associated with relying on a single industry or market. By investing in agricultural properties for rental and developing shopping centers, offices, and hotels, Cresud generates stable cash flows from its real estate segment, which complements its agricultural operations. This diversification strategy has enabled Cresud to maintain a strong financial position and adapt to changing market conditions.



Key factors driving Cresud's adjusted EBITDA growth include increased planted area, reduced input costs, favorable weather conditions, and temporary crop export tax reductions. To expect this trend to continue in the future, investors should consider the following:

1. Favorable weather conditions in the region will continue to support Cresud's agricultural production and adjusted EBITDA growth.
2. The Argentine government's continued support for the agricultural sector, through policies such as temporary crop export tax reductions, will positively impact Cresud's operations.
3. Cresud's ongoing expansion and optimization of its planted area, as well as its strategic asset monetization, will contribute to its adjusted EBITDA growth.
4. Cresud's diversified business model, with operations in both the agricultural and real estate sectors, provides a hedge against market fluctuations and supports its overall financial performance.

By considering these factors, investors can expect Cresud's adjusted EBITDA growth to continue in the future, driven by its strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions. Cresud's dividend policy, including the recent cash dividend of ARS 45,000 million, positively impacts its shareholder value and attractiveness as an investment by providing a consistent and attractive income stream, enhancing the company's reputation, and contributing to its market capitalization.