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Cramer's Lightning Round: 'Do Not Sell Cracker Barrel'

Alpha InspirationMonday, Sep 30, 2024 7:06 pm ET
2min read
In a recent episode of CNBC's "Mad Money," Jim Cramer advised investors not to sell their shares in Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (Nasdaq: CBRL), citing the company's strategic transformation plan and its potential for long-term growth. This article explores the reasons behind Cramer's bullish stance on Cracker Barrel and the factors driving the company's growth trajectory.

Cracker Barrel's strategic transformation plan, anchored on three overarching business imperatives – driving relevancy, delivering food and an experience guests love, and growing profitability – has positioned the company for long-term success. The plan focuses on refining the brand, optimizing the menu, evolving the store and guest experience, winning in digital and off-premise, and elevating the employee experience.

Menu innovations and brand refinement have played a significant role in attracting and retaining customers, driving traffic and sales growth. By introducing menu innovations focused on craveability and traffic drivers, streamlining processes to improve execution, and optimizing strategic pricing, Cracker Barrel has enhanced its appeal to consumers. Additionally, refining the brand across all touchpoints has strengthened its positioning and delighted existing and new guests.

Cracker Barrel's digital and off-premise initiatives have contributed significantly to its growth and long-term success. The company continues to leverage guest data to better understand consumer behavior and identify ways to drive frequency and engagement. By growing the off-premise business and leveraging technology such as Cracker Barrel Rewards, the company has expanded its reach and enhanced the customer experience.

The company's capital allocation strategy, including the reduction in quarterly dividends, has supported its strategic transformation and growth plans. By modifying its capital allocation to increase investments in the business to drive organic growth, Cracker Barrel has demonstrated its commitment to long-term success. The company's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, reflecting a more sustainable level that allows for increased investment in the business.

Cracker Barrel's focus on brand refinement and menu innovation drives long-term sales growth by evolving the brand across all touchpoints and introducing craveable menu items. Increased investment in store remodels and digital capabilities will contribute to the company's profitability in the coming years by delivering an exceptional guest experience and improving operational efficiency.

Cracker Barrel's reduced dividend and increased capital expenditure impact its shareholder value and stock performance by allowing the company to invest in organic growth and drive meaningful value creation over time. The company's long-term outlook projects fiscal 2027 sales of approximately $3.8 billion to $3.9 billion and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $375 million to $425 million, reflecting the potential for significant growth.

In conclusion, Cramer's advice to "do not sell Cracker Barrel" is supported by the company's strategic transformation plan, menu innovations, brand refinement, digital and off-premise initiatives, and capital allocation strategy. As Cracker Barrel continues to execute its plans, investors can expect the company to capitalize on its strengths and deliver long-term success.
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