Corning (GLW) has surged 3.64% in the most recent session, extending a four-day rally with a cumulative gain of 9.69%. This sharp upward momentum is reflected in candlestick patterns characterized by long bullish bodies and limited bearish wicks, suggesting strong buying pressure. Key support levels emerge around the 85.23–87.88 range (prior consolidation zones), while immediate resistance appears at 93.49 (recent high). A potential bearish reversal could occur if the price fails to hold above 88.88, a prior psychological barrier.
Moving Average Theory
The 50-day moving average (calculated from the last 50 closing prices) currently sits above the 200-day MA, indicating a bullish intermediate-term trend. The 100-day MA aligns closely with the 50-day, reinforcing the upward bias. However, the 200-day MA remains a critical threshold at ~85.00; a break below this level could signal a shift in the longer-term trend.
The convergence of the 50- and 100-day MAs near 89.00 suggests a potential consolidation zone ahead.
MACD & KDJ Indicators
The MACD histogram has expanded positively over the past four sessions, with the MACD line (12,26) above the signal line (9), confirming momentum. A bullish crossover occurred in early January, aligning with the recent rally. The KDJ indicator (14,3,3) shows overbought conditions, with the %K line at ~82 and %D near 78, suggesting a potential pullback. However, the absence of bearish divergence (price higher, oscillator lower) implies the uptrend may persist.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility has increased as the price approaches the upper Bollinger Band (~94.98–95.95 range), with a narrow contraction observed in late December. The current expansion suggests a breakout phase, and the price remains within the upper band, indicating strong momentum. A retest of the mid-band (~89.50–90.13) could offer a confluence of support if the trend reverses.
Volume-Price Relationship
Trading volume has surged in recent sessions, peaking at 9.76M shares on January 5, validating the price strength. The volume profile shows a positive correlation with price, as higher closes coincide with elevated volume. However, a decline in volume during the January 15 close (5.5M shares) may hint at waning momentum, though it remains within normal ranges for this rally.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-period RSI has reached ~72, entering overbought territory. While this suggests a potential correction, the RSI has not yet triggered a bearish divergence (e.g., lower highs in price with lower highs in RSI). A sustained close below 60 would signal weakening momentum, but the current trajectory remains aligned with the uptrend.
Fibonacci Retracement
Applying Fibonacci levels from the December 12 low (~87.91) to the January 5 high (~93.58) reveals key retracement levels. The 38.2% retracement (~90.60) has acted as dynamic support, while the 50% level (~90.75) aligns with recent consolidation. A break below the 61.8% level (~88.80) would invalidate the bullish case, though the current price remains above this threshold.
Confluence points emerge between the 50-day MA and Fibonacci 38.2% level (~90.60), where the price may consolidate before resuming its upward trajectory. Divergences between the overbought RSI and MACD suggest caution, as momentum may temporarily stall. Probabilistically, the uptrend remains intact if the price holds above 88.80 and the RSI avoids a bearish crossover below 60.
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